NHL · resolved market
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba42f1028728b587bb3620802fc08afb99e8370f26f21e8f61931065d5ceb84e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $397,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $422,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $397,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Yes | 45c | 61,611$27,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,757.17 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed No | 55c | 58,600$32,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,359.54 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bec…b215backed No | 30c | 51,832$15,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,213.7 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ff…f7adbacked Yes | 60c | 40,962$24,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,578.96 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked No | 49c | 40,079$19,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,514.55 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe504…600ebacked Yes | 46c | 21,625$10,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,029.06 | 270 | 44.4%120 W · 150 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 22c | 20,206$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.76 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Yes | 70c | 20,069$14,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,047.07 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15dc…77c8backed Yes | 71c | 14,090$10,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,003.64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed Yes | 31c | 13,283$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.62 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Yes | 56c | 12,972$7,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,265.81 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 55c | 10,743$5,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,869.41 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c7…aadebacked No | 47c | 10,456$4,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,578.75 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 53c | 9,646$5,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,102.84 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 57c | 7,549$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,246.84 | 437 | 42.3%185 W · 252 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 40c | 7,495$3,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,463.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…4da5backed Yes | 71c | 6,090$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,324.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e6…7633backed Yes | 50c | 5,756$2,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,871.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 67c | 5,620$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.05 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed No | 63c | 4,838$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc92f…f930backed Yes | 39c | 4,742$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.51 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Yes | 52c | 4,116$2,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,138.56 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Yes | 50c | 3,989$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6d…18d9backed Yes | 21c | 3,381$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Yes | 67c | 3,155$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Yes | 42c | 2,762$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.16 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 69c | 2,559$1,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.7 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 34c | 2,475$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.5 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Yes | 48c | 2,392$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.33 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…9e90backed Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed No | 58c | 1,897$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.44 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…53a9backed No | 64c | 1,543$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.45 | 124 | 38.7%48 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a0…c8b8backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Yes | 15c | 1,426$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.23 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +14.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed No | 47c | 1,363$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.2 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,276$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.21 | 303 | 49.5%150 W · 153 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 1,240$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f05…43e7backed Yes | 9c | 1,102$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ddb…44c4backed Yes | 38c | 1,100$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 48c | 1,035$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.19 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 53c | 1,025$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.24 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 181 | 36.5%66 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149f…d306backed Yes | 53c | 1,000$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8c…85fbbacked Yes | 52c | 964.08$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…e8d0backed Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…330ebacked Yes | 48c | 932.99$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 53c | 896.21$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.78 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 57c | 867$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Yes | 37c | 809.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Yes | 70c | 802.69$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.88 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 52c | 800$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed No | 52c | 800$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Yes | 32c | 787.5$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9711…3fa1backed No | 38c | 754.83$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad6…781fbacked Yes | 70c | 701$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Yes | 68c | 700$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 46c | 688.16$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.19 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…b34ebacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77b…24abbacked No | 51c | 669.45$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.45 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Yes | 37c | 661$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…87dabacked Yes | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 35c | 650$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe626…6771backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb67…5ea3backed Yes | 71c | 600$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 62c | 588.62$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.76 | 336 | 52.1%175 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Yes | 52c | 559.36$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed No | 64c | 555$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.8 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Yes | 65c | 541.18$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fc…74a4backed Yes | 71c | 526.96$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 134 | 42.5%57 W · 77 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 27c | 514.99$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.25 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 62c | 500$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191 | 261 | 36%94 W · 167 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…3f0bbacked Yes | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…485bbacked No | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed Yes | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.99 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd328…8b13backed Yes | 39c | 470.22$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1125…ffdfbacked Yes | 73c | 464.09$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…f67dbacked Yes | 20c | 460.15$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd864…97a1backed Yes | 40c | 447.91$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaf…7affbacked Yes | 45c | 445.76$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b57…95e1backed Yes | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd71c…c4c5backed No | 36c | 430$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa774…005fbacked Yes | 49c | 415.76$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 142 | 45.1%64 W · 78 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 80c | 396$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9743…3813backed Yes | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked Yes | 32c | 350$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a45…1405backed Yes | 31c | 322.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…ff90backed Yes | 47c | 321.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 62c | 317.13$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.39 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…480abacked Yes | 16c | 305.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 36.1%30 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 300.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Yes | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed No | 29c | 300$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7c…d18ebacked Yes | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 56c | 294$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…581abacked Yes | 41c | 293.2$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?Yes won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.