NHL · resolved market
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x83c6ce7cb95e56718932e7731024cfd3a37c73c46dc83b2b071f3e23cf15c0ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes | 16c | 9,184$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.39 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1785…ec39backed Yes | 11c | 3,529$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…1e2abacked Yes | 14c | 3,486$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50a3…a972backed Yes | 11c | 3,174$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…6c0dbacked Yes | 11c | 3,113$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1478…fc4bbacked Yes | 11c | 3,009$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf580…bb16backed Yes | 11c | 2,997$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab40…357fbacked Yes | 12c | 2,556$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a0…4fe7backed Yes | 11c | 2,306$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd1…48f2backed Yes | 12c | 2,137$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6d…63d7backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7b…cc48backed Yes | 12c | 1,468$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 14c | 1,369$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 198 | 36.9%73 W · 125 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda15…a083backed Yes | 12c | 1,262$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 15c | 1,200$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…41bfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,187$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa95…67a5backed Yes | 12c | 1,124$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d7…9fcfbacked Yes | 12c | 1,121$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5da…0635backed Yes | 12c | 833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8f…8cc2backed Yes | 11c | 811.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.04 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc32f…f96cbacked Yes | 11c | 754$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c14…6f74backed Yes | 11c | 751$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f6…9f73backed Yes | 14c | 701.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…2891backed Yes | 12c | 695$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff68…b34ebacked Yes | 17c | 597.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b76…edefbacked Yes | 13c | 507.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 4c | 480.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 103 | 36.9%38 W · 65 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc647…5e87backed Yes | 7c | 468.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd286…0dd1backed Yes | 8c | 340.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf796…3ac5backed Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…f67dbacked Yes | 9c | 328.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked Yes | 12c | 305.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…ba81backed Yes | 13c | 299.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe997…1922backed Yes | 17c | 270.41$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.57 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked Yes | 13c | 155.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…1668backed Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f96…ad0fbacked Yes | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Yes | 14c | 145.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa185…6e8fbacked Yes | 15c | 133.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…581bbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 979 | 55.5%543 W · 436 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a01…321cbacked Yes | 12c | 84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?this page
- Will the Anaheim Ducks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Dallas Stars win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Los Angeles Kings win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Minnesota Wild win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Nashville Predators win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the San Jose Sharks win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Seattle Kraken win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?No won
- Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Western Conference?Yes won
- Will the Winnipeg Jets win the Western Conference?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.