World Politics · resolved market
Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6039e96d92eee66259876a49ecd0a4ec9141044f96cd6a5e952e6a384cfab70
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,568
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,568 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea1a…8308backed Yes | 55c | 5,630$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,103.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4b…bb26backed Yes | 76c | 2,174$1,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,661.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…543bbacked Yes | 60c | 2,125$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 39c | 1,935$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.79 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 41c | 1,663$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.05 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 34c | 1,613$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.48 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3191…0665backed No | 60c | 1,514$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 48c | 1,440$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.35 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Yes | 38c | 1,372$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 25c | 1,202$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.18 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed Yes | 20c | 1,056$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.41 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed Yes | 41c | 1,005$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.62 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9063…3cc8backed Yes | 74c | 979.99$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 39c | 743.08$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.05 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…2a8cbacked Yes | 76c | 709.59$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62a…f05bbacked Yes | 73c | 687.48$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c77…bde7backed Yes | 58c | 667.64$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…d223backed Yes | 46c | 662.91$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.65 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 26c | 615.03$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.35 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfda6…657ebacked Yes | 75c | 564$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 77c | 525.38$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.38 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 65c | 497.89$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.64 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 43c | 496$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.81 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 42c | 477.26$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.99 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 13c | 465.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.73 | 166 | 16.9%28 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…9ee2backed Yes | 53c | 464.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.39 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 59c | 438.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.36 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 60c | 438.42$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 50c | 432.74$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.1 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 79c | 419.47$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e1…30ffbacked Yes | 75c | 398.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 389.37$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.48 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 32c | 373.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.5 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Yes | 70c | 362.56$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.4 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391b…3179backed Yes | 22c | 333.94$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…864ebacked Yes | 53c | 309.57$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 36c | 282.24$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 17c | 278.94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.52 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 11c | 263.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d54backed No | 21c | 259.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.29 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +5.4wins | +0.54per pick | 16cpaid | +410.7%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 32c | 258.36$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.69 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31c…642bbacked Yes | 58c | 254.54$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +169.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 52c | 245.37$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.65 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 25c | 237$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.99 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…980cbacked Yes | 60c | 218.09$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…c3ddbacked Yes | 7c | 209$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…bae5backed Yes | 11c | 207.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Yes | 50c | 195.5$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 58 | 17.2%10 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 71c | 190$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 53c | 189$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…e0cbbacked No | 64c | 186$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 54c | 181.67$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb69…361ebacked Yes | 54c | 169.16$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 35c | 167.54$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.91 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 48c | 165.19$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 68c | 159.35$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…fad9backed Yes | 73c | 147.48$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed No | 41c | 146.34$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 45c | 145.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a3…962fbacked No | 54c | 143.89$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed No | 19c | 143.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 46c | 140$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 44c | 136.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.82 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0650…6875backed Yes | 74c | 134.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…69b7backed Yes | 50c | 132.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…b1abbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…565cbacked Yes | 77c | 129.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 38c | 129$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 66c | 125$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0765…8bf9backed Yes | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 58cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes | 48c | 118.5$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 70c | 115.73$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.19 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…0583backed No | 62c | 111.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 45c | 110.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.03 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb1…4547backed Yes | 79c | 110.44$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 79cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 45c | 105$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.2 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 60c | 100.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…3941backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafc1…31bebacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c91…6795backed Yes | 43c | 96.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 68c | 93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 50c | 90.24$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 58c | 90$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…3e55backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +724.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 34c | 87.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 34c | 84.9$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 323 | 54.2%175 W · 148 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 20c | 75.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…0021backed Yes | 55c | 75.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d26…3286backed Yes | 68c | 73.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.5wins | -0.49per pick | 69cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…6bfcbacked Yes | 62c | 72.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f70…312bbacked No | 30c | 66.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 41c | 66.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 24c | 64.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeacd…8143backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 65c | 58.73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…bb75backed Yes | 35c | 57.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?this page
- Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.