World Politics · resolved market
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb176083e26310548f6d5323c30d60cf5d840daf4ef13ff7d09a5ea33066b4eb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,857
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,857 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4b6f…246dbacked Yes | 79c | 4,794$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 24c | 4,251$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,212.73 | 134 | 44.8%60 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 57c | 2,448$1,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,383.54 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…4155backed Yes | 23c | 2,158$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.22 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 61c | 1,997$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.24 | 155 | 58.7%91 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 2c | 1,801$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 173 | 30.1%52 W · 121 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 74c | 1,555$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.02 | 343 | 54.8%188 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 45c | 1,428$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.92 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 15c | 1,288$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.74 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +11.9wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +178.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 35c | 1,209$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.74 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 907.65$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.77 | 399 | 52.4%209 W · 190 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80eb…aa0abacked Yes | 76c | 730$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…01f5backed No | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5516…f7f9backed Yes | 44c | 690.88$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed9a…83efbacked Yes | 60c | 666.78$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52a…864ebacked Yes | 35c | 663.64$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 69c | 556$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.55 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5b…a790backed Yes | 46c | 537.31$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 14c | 500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +12.4wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +385.3%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 14c | 500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 12cpaid | +167.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd657…9026backed Yes | 55c | 475.33$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.02 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 36c | 472.72$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.69 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 25c | 439.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.19 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 36c | 419.37$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.57 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 53c | 417.14$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.03 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…0357backed Yes | 39c | 378.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.26 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Yes | 60c | 372.54$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.44 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Yes | 25c | 353.27$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +416.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 18c | 345.3$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 42c | 310.09$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.26 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 29c | 308.57$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.96 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 78c | 296$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.48 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 55c | 294.11$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.97 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 289.06$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.47 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 39c | 283.77$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.01 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed Yes | 49c | 271.89$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.71 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5f…8716backed Yes | 50c | 269.28$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.28 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 244.04$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.39 | 234 | 59.8%140 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…000cbacked Yes | 58c | 237$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked No | 50c | 220.38$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.36 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 38c | 219.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcce…3e55backed No | 13c | 212.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 12cpaid | +724.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f7…071cbacked Yes | 55c | 208.89$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.89 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd76…77bdbacked No | 73c | 206$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.57 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3de…fe0ebacked Yes | 43c | 199.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 51c | 195$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 45c | 189$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.72 | 352 | 58%204 W · 148 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 57c | 188.88$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.75 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 44c | 182.67$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.68 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 38c | 180.24$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…f5f8backed Yes | 27c | 176.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +269.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 56c | 172.31$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 155$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 58c | 154.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Yes | 34c | 147.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…f1d6backed Yes | 33c | 144$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 68c | 135$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 285 | 58.9%168 W · 117 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 55c | 133$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.68 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 60c | 131.47$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 61c | 129$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ae…55f8backed Yes | 47c | 127.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 43c | 127.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 187 | 62.6%117 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 20c | 122.17$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 52c | 118.64$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.3 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 46c | 117.76$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053f…5f6dbacked Yes | 45c | 115$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.26 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0c…4aacbacked Yes | 48c | 110.02$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 23c | 104.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 69c | 104$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.62 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 42c | 99.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 186 | 28.5%53 W · 133 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed No | 40c | 99.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 53c | 98.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb29f…808bbacked No | 75c | 96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 16c | 93.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 266 | 32.7%87 W · 179 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 32c | 93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 38c | 91.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.82 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…77e8backed No | 48c | 90.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 45c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…e0cbbacked No | 42c | 84$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 68c | 83.46$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.07 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fd…59d3backed No | 77c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 50c | 78.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 463 | 30.2%140 W · 323 L | -20.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…d888backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 61c | 71$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 146 | 37%54 W · 92 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed No | 45c | 67.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf124…9d72backed No | 76c | 62.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 263 | 55.9%147 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 46c | 56.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 31c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 167 | 55.1%92 W · 75 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x265e…d223backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 44c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.49 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…272fbacked Yes | 51c | 48.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?this page
- Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.