AI · resolved market
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5eed5d402c85807bede0e4b9169173e48c5ba42879da524cc03ad35092c7995
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,830
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $148,921
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,830 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 7c | 66,414$4,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,379.2 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 13c | 9,181$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.14 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 79c | 5,857$4,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.97 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c02…e658backed Yes | 56c | 4,219$2,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,380 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 53c | 4,032$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.55 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…b814backed Yes | 19c | 2,828$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.01 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked No | 62c | 2,774$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.89 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a2…54c2backed Yes | 15c | 2,696$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.3 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4e…297bbacked Yes | 22c | 2,337$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.84 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 15c | 2,288$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.11 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 2,048$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.89 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 6c | 2,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,899$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 57c | 1,655$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.55 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 1,613$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.21 | 144 | 21.5%31 W · 113 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,450$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 193 | 37.3%72 W · 121 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 71c | 1,316$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.77 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 54c | 1,291$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.51 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 76c | 1,193$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.7 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 51c | 1,129$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.89 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 11c | 1,124$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 11c | 970.19$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.7 | 416 | 7.5%31 W · 385 L | -25.7wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed Yes | 14c | 933.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.35 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 15c | 910.01$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.41 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e82…af92backed No | 47c | 821.24$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked Yes | 10c | 790.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 77c | 761.09$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1d…4d41backed Yes | 20c | 739.25$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…4d52backed Yes | 8c | 733.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked Yes | 15c | 714$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 64c | 676.84$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.75 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 78c | 653.02$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.48 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 50c | 640.68$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.34 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a41…419cbacked Yes | 67c | 593.05$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 59c | 585$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.28 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…f38ebacked No | 35c | 574.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 78c | 560.47$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 64c | 548.03$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.93 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 75c | 531.19$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…1186backed Yes | 59c | 514.59$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…e2eebacked Yes | 26c | 505.82$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 17c | 499.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…cefabacked Yes | 15c | 462.79$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.05 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed Yes | 22c | 462.43$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…e223backed Yes | 13c | 445.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 79c | 427.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa2…3801backed Yes | 24c | 421.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…a246backed Yes | 36c | 416.37$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 70c | 399.85$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 16c | 387.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 75c | 354.98$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…e1efbacked No | 37c | 349.99$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.49 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 74c | 347.58$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 165 | 19.4%32 W · 133 L | -21.3wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…47e4backed Yes | 9c | 345.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 59c | 332.37$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.66 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked No | 46c | 314.33$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c59…8363backed Yes | 64c | 301.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 300.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 300$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 68c | 299.08$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.1 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…1ddabacked Yes | 27c | 276.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 50c | 256.93$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.47 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…eba6backed Yes | 76c | 254.12$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bab…8322backed Yes | 14c | 251.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…e0cabacked No | 38c | 250$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e5…0059backed Yes | 65c | 244.59$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.13 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…a0b3backed Yes | 69c | 234.79$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked Yes | 11c | 221$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 77c | 219.74$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.17 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…35aebacked Yes | 53c | 209.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 74c | 205.08$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.51 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 8c | 204$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 62 | 16.1%10 W · 52 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…4cfdbacked Yes | 10c | 203.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x789e…3bb1backed Yes | 75c | 203.38$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.19 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 460 | 38.9%179 W · 281 L | -31.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7c…3e7abacked Yes | 14c | 199.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbb…4124backed Yes | 10c | 193.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 32c | 188.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.74 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 36c | 167.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 731 | 35.6%260 W · 471 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa659…02e0backed Yes | 24c | 167.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…e5d4backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…c330backed Yes | 60c | 166.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…8784backed Yes | 60c | 166.46$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf6…5219backed Yes | 33c | 160$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 43c | 143.79$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 143.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 43c | 140$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.14 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c78…593dbacked Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed No | 45c | 133.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 220 | 19.5%43 W · 177 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…8bfdbacked No | 77c | 133.29$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…1538backed No | 23c | 132.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +340.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 37c | 126$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 17c | 120.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9652…d0a0backed Yes | 53c | 119.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked No | 28c | 119.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.24 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…d481backed Yes | 54c | 118.6$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…31e4backed Yes | 14c | 115.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 41c | 110$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.9 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed Yes | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes won
- Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.