TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

AI · resolved market

Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,612
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,140

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,612 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in AI
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes52c12,546$6,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,052.34969.4%34 W · 15 L+9.0wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+22.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No62c4,030$2,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,502.945633.9%19 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-44.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No17c3,211$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.057943%34 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No33c2,775$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.742330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-60.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No15c2,609$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.636145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b6…eba6backed Yes76c2,400$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.111457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No15c2,321$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.782913.8%4 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid-74.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No12c2,309$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.5919818.7%37 W · 161 L-8.1wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2688…cb00backed Yes77c1,891$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.457536%27 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0482…6b0abacked Yes16c1,833$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,547.5321035.7%75 W · 135 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick29cpaid-8.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed No15c1,609$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7411855.9%66 W · 52 L+11.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No10c1,521$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.017032.9%23 W · 47 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No72c1,496$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.832646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes28c1,488$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.993638.9%14 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid-16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No27c1,423$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.193647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed No43c1,394$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.421258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+46%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No25c1,330$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.038942.7%38 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No64c1,218$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.022429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-59.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x564f…7026backed Yes13c1,170$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.9536945.3%167 W · 202 L+29.3wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No21c1,142$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6517824.2%43 W · 135 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-56%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xef1f…5868backed No15c1,050$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1561225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No7c1,049$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.054157.2%30 W · 385 L-26.1wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-69%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc1f…a246backed Yes79c1,010$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.531250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No8c999.19$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2119432%62 W · 132 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-40.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes19c956.39$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.018442.9%36 W · 48 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No33c954$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.148741.4%36 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfff…673dbacked No30c932.96$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.87538.7%29 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d8a…8730backed No20c900$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x695c…10a1backed No29c849$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.635221.2%11 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc26…32cabacked No14c777.78$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.891216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No39c721.42$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.9247938%182 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6469…d07cbacked Yes72c696.7$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick28cpaid+281.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd9…a2edbacked Yes78c638.18$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.55250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes73c607.53$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.7110723.4%25 W · 82 L+0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes19c590$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.17796.3%5 W · 74 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No30c567.66$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.996439.1%25 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No18c522.02$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.853834.2%13 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f48…6f45backed Yes79c506.33$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.33911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick27cpaid-85.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb89f…1c44backed No18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014337.8%54 W · 89 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x53fb…e92abacked No8c499.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No15c482.42$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.422536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadaf…6eb9backed Yes17c462.87$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385.47742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf25c…732cbacked No20c449.99$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick23cpaid+25.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca29…287fbacked Yes68c449.98$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.991060%6 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No9c400$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372792.5%7 W · 272 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-69.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5566…7c29backed No23c390.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.73243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No72c390$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.057041.4%29 W · 41 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe732…898fbacked No10c387.02$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.389041.1%37 W · 53 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f66…3a50backed Yes77c378.82$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.823250%16 W · 16 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-27%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No34c366.73$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.534736.2%17 W · 30 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-37%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes62c334.72$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.5515047.3%71 W · 79 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes9c332.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.312674.9%13 W · 254 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No64c332.35$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.044126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d1e…1e21backed Yes76c327.94$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.94450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x558f…1a56backed No64c326.22$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.433050%15 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked No40c300$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1204148.8%20 W · 21 L+7.0wins+0.17per pick32cpaid+56.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8030…7b74backed No40c299.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1207035.7%25 W · 45 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+71.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed No13c297.69$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.412533.6%42 W · 83 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes61c296.63$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.4972935.5%259 W · 470 L-57.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8673…4025backed Yes13c296.45$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.227135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc326…1db1backed Yes16c287.5$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.9425837.6%97 W · 161 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed No12c281.77$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.652133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b57…5c85backed Yes76c281.53$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d0…264ebacked Yes64c270$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.92646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5edc…bbadbacked No13c263.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.693231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-44.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No63c251.57$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3116418.9%31 W · 133 L-21.7wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-51.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No13c248$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.141838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7365…64dabacked Yes12c244.46$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.6827536.4%100 W · 175 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-26.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe086…0450backed Yes73c242.95$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.537143.7%31 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9010…d06fbacked No16c239.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.42025%5 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+14.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No18c229.48$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.51,3636.8%93 W · 1,270 L-20.2wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-59.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a2…af52backed Yes72c223$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.911181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick61cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6435…cbc8backed Yes71c211.27$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.271741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-38.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed No47c208.13$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2528826.7%77 W · 211 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8386…c2f2backed Yes16c207.66$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.321233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes19c200$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.51822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-44.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No9c200$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.53042%6 W · 298 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-70.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1547…d066backed Yes14c199.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.993751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3825…04e8backed No15c199.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.791735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d81…fe57backed No16c193.08$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.524158.5%24 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No18c190.75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2540712.3%50 W · 357 L-35.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-48.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No14c185.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.692842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed No21c179.28$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.333253.1%17 W · 15 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f20…12c3backed No16c174.24$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.837448.6%36 W · 38 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No12c171.27$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5513422.4%30 W · 104 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-40.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked No28c170.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.64729.8%14 W · 33 L-5.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-53.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d2e…f022backed Yes12c166.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.661442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No49c164.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.25848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc319…0e0cbacked No40c154.86$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.9490%0 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed No19c144.06$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.752343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78e4…b53bbacked Yes73c139.42$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…a06dbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…34d1backed No53c130$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d38…382cbacked Yes17c126.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.481844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed No20c123.03$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.492737%10 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b12…c2d5backed No12c122.02$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.822544%11 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-31.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No21c107.18$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.875843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x23be…a0b3backed No22c104.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid+100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed No21c103$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.132236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-41.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick42cpaid+2.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.