AI · resolved market
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45bcc8c4580c1c015f6e17c5bd13e2fa31c27920cafe3ddbf59b4b5fbd526f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x73ec…f5bbbacked Yes | 52c | 12,546$6,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,052.3 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +9.0wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 62c | 4,030$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.94 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 17c | 3,211$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.05 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 33c | 2,775$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.74 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 15c | 2,609$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.63 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b6…eba6backed Yes | 76c | 2,400$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 15c | 2,321$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.78 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 12c | 2,309$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.59 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…cb00backed Yes | 77c | 1,891$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.45 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 16c | 1,833$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.53 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed No | 15c | 1,609$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.74 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 10c | 1,521$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.01 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 72c | 1,496$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.83 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1b…e75cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,488$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.99 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 27c | 1,423$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.19 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 43c | 1,394$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 25c | 1,330$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.03 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 64c | 1,218$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 13c | 1,170$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.95 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 21c | 1,142$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.65 | 178 | 24.2%43 W · 135 L | -12.4wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -56%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef1f…5868backed No | 15c | 1,050$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 1,049$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.05 | 415 | 7.2%30 W · 385 L | -26.1wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -69%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1f…a246backed Yes | 79c | 1,010$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 8c | 999.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.21 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 19c | 956.39$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.01 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 33c | 954$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.14 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 30c | 932.96$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.8 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8a…8730backed No | 20c | 900$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 29c | 849$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.63 | 52 | 21.2%11 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 14c | 777.78$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.89 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 39c | 721.42$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.92 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6469…d07cbacked Yes | 72c | 696.7$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +281.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd9…a2edbacked Yes | 78c | 638.18$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 73c | 607.53$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.71 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 19c | 590$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.17 | 79 | 6.3%5 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 30c | 567.66$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.99 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 18c | 522.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.85 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…6f45backed Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed No | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 143 | 37.8%54 W · 89 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked No | 8c | 499.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 15c | 482.42$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…6eb9backed Yes | 17c | 462.87$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf25c…732cbacked No | 20c | 449.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked Yes | 68c | 449.98$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 9c | 400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 23c | 390.84$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 72c | 390$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.05 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked No | 10c | 387.02$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f66…3a50backed Yes | 77c | 378.82$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 34c | 366.73$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.53 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -37%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 62c | 334.72$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 150 | 47.3%71 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 9c | 332.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.31 | 267 | 4.9%13 W · 254 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 64c | 332.35$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.04 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1e…1e21backed Yes | 76c | 327.94$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 64c | 326.22$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +71.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 13c | 297.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 125 | 33.6%42 W · 83 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 61c | 296.63$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.49 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8673…4025backed Yes | 13c | 296.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.22 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 16c | 287.5$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.94 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 12c | 281.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.65 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…5c85backed Yes | 76c | 281.53$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…264ebacked Yes | 64c | 270$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 13c | 263.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.69 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 63c | 251.57$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 164 | 18.9%31 W · 133 L | -21.7wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 13c | 248$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…64dabacked Yes | 12c | 244.46$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.68 | 275 | 36.4%100 W · 175 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 73c | 242.95$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.53 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…d06fbacked No | 16c | 239.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 229.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…af52backed Yes | 72c | 223$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.91 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 61cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…cbc8backed Yes | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 47c | 208.13$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.25 | 288 | 26.7%77 W · 211 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8386…c2f2backed Yes | 16c | 207.66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3d…fea1backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed Yes | 14c | 199.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3825…04e8backed No | 15c | 199.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.79 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d81…fe57backed No | 16c | 193.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 190.75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 14c | 185.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 21c | 179.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 16c | 174.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 12c | 171.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked No | 28c | 170.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2e…f022backed Yes | 12c | 166.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.66 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 49c | 164.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…0e0cbacked No | 40c | 154.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 19c | 144.06$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…b53bbacked Yes | 73c | 139.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…a06dbacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…34d1backed No | 53c | 130$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d38…382cbacked Yes | 17c | 126.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 20c | 123.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 12c | 122.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 21c | 107.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…a0b3backed No | 22c | 104.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 21c | 103$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…fd3cbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.