TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd9f3…d2ac

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: AI, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category AI at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Weather — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.76
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on May 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C or higher on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+217.5%+$23.97
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$37.73
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$27.04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.83
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C or below on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$9.4
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on May 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.75
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.58
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on May 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.82
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.12
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick34cpaid+20.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the 2nd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,203.5%+$171.73
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$11.88
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.86
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.35
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.38
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.88
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.09
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-88.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.19
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.54
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.68
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.62
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.23
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$7.52
Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.91
Will "The Breadwinner" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 7m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.92
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.64
Will "Swapped" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+55.8%+$5.73
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.44
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$8.33
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.23
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+41.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ornn H200 Index be between $3.00 and $4.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.1
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$14.08
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$42.21
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$112.34
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.31
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16.4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.84
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$11.45
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$7.42
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
All 8 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick21cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+62.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick18cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.45
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+400%+$98.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.28
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.78
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $150M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Royal Challengers Bengaluru win the 2026 Indian Premier League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.96
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.