Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ad572256da9fbebdf401cdd368618424644077700b5e1d1461236112d18bffa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 51c | 3,227$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,655.75 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +182.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…c149backed Yes | 45c | 2,468$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.37 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +208.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 35c | 2,241$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.38 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…93debacked Yes | 40c | 1,636$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…08abbacked Yes | 65c | 1,540$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.07 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…bb2abacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 39c | 1,040$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,001$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.12 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3e…176dbacked Yes | 40c | 960.1$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.82 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 17c | 819.31$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 58c | 744.44$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.19 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5287…3a16backed No | 57c | 734.52$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.11 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…4907backed Yes | 43c | 500$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.83 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…8ed8backed Yes | 38c | 491$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.42 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 321$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.01 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 57c | 316.6$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.8 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 39c | 297.94$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +655.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdb…6919backed Yes | 64c | 292.79$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked No | 54c | 287.75$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 24c | 285$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.4 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 35c | 258$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.3 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 48c | 257.49$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.26 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 49c | 242.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.74 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 40c | 242.18$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.37 | 233 | 30.5%71 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11a…c40bbacked Yes | 59c | 238.3$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…d8d7backed Yes | 50c | 183.28$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 34c | 180$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 56c | 176.34$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.13 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 38c | 169.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 63c | 167.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.15 | 199 | 31.7%63 W · 136 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e0…d1aebacked No | 25c | 163$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 20c | 159.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.07 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa156…cf02backed Yes | 43c | 158.18$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 42c | 157.2$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 36c | 155$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.61 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db8…ed19backed No | 41c | 151$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.21 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…308ebacked No | 60c | 150.83$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 51c | 150.83$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a88…4e57backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 46c | 147$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed No | 33c | 144.25$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Yes | 50c | 135.29$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 56c | 119.67$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.21 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 38c | 112$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 61c | 101.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.33 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked No | 49c | 95.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…1211backed No | 32c | 94.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 55c | 88.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 39c | 85.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 37cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 68c | 81.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.41 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 62c | 80.4$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 53c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.7 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 55c | 77$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 62c | 70.56$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd576…b8f4backed No | 44c | 67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8575…87febacked No | 51c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 43c | 64.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 108 | 36.1%39 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 48c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked No | 36c | 56.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 68c | 54.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f99…6734backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f5…4f4dbacked No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2814…5596backed No | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 48c | 49.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e0…6392backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 45c | 42.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.54 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 59c | 42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 39c | 41.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked No | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 49c | 35.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked No | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…0fe1backed No | 50c | 31.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f296backed Yes | 66c | 28.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…73e7backed Yes | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…d2f4backed Yes | 66c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed No | 48c | 23.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed No | 51c | 22.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdae5…6fc8backed Yes | 53c | 21.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in May?this page
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in May?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in May?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% in May?No won
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.9% or more in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.