Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e8f1b10276da37788162d27b233253ae5f10aae193a113eccbb722971466b31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,297
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,997
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,297 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2858…119dbacked Yes | 66c | 5,687$3,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 64c | 4,294$2,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.86 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1af1…7b88backed Yes | 31c | 3,080$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,126 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 7cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x252d…c456backed No | 42c | 1,591$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.2 | 477 | 21.6%103 W · 374 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 64c | 1,440$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.29 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 46c | 1,256$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.62 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 28c | 1,065$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.88 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…0a45backed Yes | 45c | 600$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 550$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…f8e8backed Yes | 24c | 526.77$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.47 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…c228backed No | 70c | 498.68$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.26 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.9wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 36c | 473.21$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.62 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41d6…01f9backed No | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 7.6%6 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 69c | 204$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked No | 64c | 151.37$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…50acbacked No | 35c | 106.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 33c | 78.92$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.83 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 60c | 70.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…cdf4backed No | 29c | 69.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…52c2backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked No | 42c | 59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf659…d1fabacked No | 31c | 43.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked No | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…ec1ebacked No | 31c | 34.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?this page
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 June 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 June 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 June 1-7?Yes won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,100 June 1-7?No won
- Will Ethereum reach $2,700 June 1-7?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.