Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff8829cd1f7d0c024774035c96a84c65bad787122c93bcf6ce7386e97c718d45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 50c | 3,074$1,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.15 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa3…31a0backed No | 48c | 2,111$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 33c | 819$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.52 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 71c | 788.99$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.13 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe57…3920backed Yes | 59c | 652.55$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.39 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 41c | 577.93$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.98 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 31c | 547$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.23 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 61c | 528.07$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.07 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 31c | 516.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 49c | 407.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.85 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 30c | 343.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.1 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 43c | 339.97$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.29 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 28c | 338.46$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 33c | 336.78$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.74 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 39c | 330.82$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.73 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 322$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.57 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 57c | 314$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 23c | 313.87$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.47 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 28c | 299.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.58 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 79c | 251$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 79c | 235.74$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 34c | 232.88$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 34c | 232.04$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 38c | 214.7$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ad…69f5backed No | 51c | 213.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 267 | 44.2%118 W · 149 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 52c | 205.85$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.53 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe445…8750backed No | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -5.8wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7d82…1263backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 60c | 196.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.19 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 33c | 186.05$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.57 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 172$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 37c | 170.79$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 58c | 150.08$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…2db3backed No | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…fcc1backed Yes | 74c | 144.52$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d9…0dacbacked Yes | 55c | 122.27$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.59 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 57c | 122$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.32 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9819…fe16backed Yes | 78c | 119.43$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 25c | 119$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed No | 44c | 114.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 48c | 112.94$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 33c | 110.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…52dcbacked Yes | 47c | 107.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 39c | 102.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 55c | 101.21$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…71fcbacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…6558backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…3eddbacked No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.8wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -43%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…62b6backed No | 52c | 99.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.49 | 96 | 25%24 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 53c | 98.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed No | 55c | 98.02$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 31c | 92.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 20c | 91.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.9 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 20c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 31c | 89.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c3…20e0backed No | 53c | 88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 637 | 57.6%367 W · 270 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a0…b7a2backed No | 34c | 85.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked No | 38c | 84.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0af…cc7dbacked No | 35c | 84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 14c | 80.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…0208backed Yes | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b2dbbacked Yes | 45c | 77.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 462 | 40.5%187 W · 275 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 43c | 75.83$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 19c | 72.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.07 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce1…712bbacked No | 69c | 72.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ffa…d06bbacked Yes | 20c | 68.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.18 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +7.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed No | 36c | 68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed Yes | 78c | 65.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.65 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 80c | 64.91$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 31c | 64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.16 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…27f6backed No | 78c | 60.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 36c | 60.51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c6…9d95backed No | 34c | 60.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac2…058dbacked No | 34c | 59.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb537…14ccbacked No | 51c | 58.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 60.1%249 W · 165 L | -21.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 68c | 58.16$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked No | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bb…1b2fbacked No | 46c | 56.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 47c | 56.57$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 37c | 54.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a3…5dd5backed Yes | 49c | 54.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 467 | 43.7%204 W · 263 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb259…9207backed No | 49c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 110 | 27.3%30 W · 80 L | -22.3wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…aeecbacked Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec0…a64abacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 188 | 62.8%118 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x652e…4a94backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…558dbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 44c | 49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 35c | 44.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fff…8f49backed No | 35c | 42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 52c | 41.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 42c | 41.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 34c | 40.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c70…edf3backed No | 39c | 38.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…0379backed No | 53c | 37.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 548 | 57.5%315 W · 233 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 48c | 37.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.48 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 65c | 37.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.