Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8fe76118103ae25c847b596219a538d615d8db8df3b72386114700f6eb595ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,780
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,780 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17e0…fe5bbacked Yes | 23c | 3,041$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.06 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 26c | 1,345$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.13 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 15c | 577.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.05 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 24c | 569.7$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 567.78$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 72c | 538.97$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.17 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 25c | 480.5$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.13 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 19c | 425.03$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 77c | 286.61$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 75c | 275.48$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 193.51$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 34c | 191.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 77c | 187.88$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 73c | 167.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 34c | 161.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 72c | 157$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed No | 73c | 156.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 212 | 68.4%145 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 26c | 153.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 74c | 152.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 72c | 145.29$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 17c | 135.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked No | 73c | 133.48$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda91…d760backed Yes | 28c | 131.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 1,010 | 40.3%407 W · 603 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 77c | 124.96$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 72c | 116.64$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 69c | 115.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.37 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b60…558dbacked No | 74c | 112.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedba…002dbacked No | 69c | 110.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 96 | 79.2%76 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…52dcbacked Yes | 28c | 106.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 64c | 105.75$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.59 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…31b5backed Yes | 29c | 102.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 36.8%35 W · 60 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef14…3edabacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 30c | 95.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 80c | 92$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 89.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad71…05cdbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 73c | 85.62$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 80c | 82.17$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 20c | 82.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 20c | 81.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 68c | 81.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 22c | 80$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 68c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 76c | 79.65$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 466 | 26%121 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e1…c152backed Yes | 23c | 79.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 202 | 31.2%63 W · 139 L | +22.2wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 32c | 79.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 72c | 76.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ecf…c85dbacked Yes | 22c | 70.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 77c | 66.92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…493cbacked No | 77c | 65.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x837c…d774backed No | 80c | 62.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed Yes | 18c | 56.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…2f7fbacked Yes | 18c | 55.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 79c | 54.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…d0a7backed Yes | 18c | 54.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92e…5ae3backed Yes | 31c | 52.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec21…c83fbacked No | 77c | 52.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 71 | 66.2%47 W · 24 L | -8.2wins | -0.12per pick | 78cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed Yes | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 336 | 54.2%182 W · 154 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60f9…7764backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…c567backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked No | 72c | 48.58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 132 | 74.2%98 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 41.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 28c | 40.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 80c | 40.48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd702…2087backed Yes | 30c | 39.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1933…1a53backed Yes | 25c | 39.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 74c | 38.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad0…da08backed Yes | 29c | 37.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 76c | 35.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 71c | 35.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f12…9424backed No | 73c | 34.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad3…e651backed No | 65c | 30.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 333 | 51.7%172 W · 161 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6282…aaabbacked No | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 421 | 51.8%218 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9fd…1902backed No | 68c | 24.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x463d…abb2backed No | 67c | 24.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 78c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 67c | 22.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 66c | 22.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 67c | 21.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.18 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x746d…2db5backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 69c | 20.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bea…bab9backed No | 66c | 19.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.78 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 65c | 19.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 71c | 19.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…76b3backed No | 69c | 19.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7506…6996backed No | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 72cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 72c | 17.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.98 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4875…149bbacked No | 77c | 16.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 2?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.