Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf8c548aad1ee7c2dcc3bb484b16af8f5490e00291528ed4e863170421f9604

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $364,367
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $345,936

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $364,367 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 221 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	21c	14,366$2,949 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,949.44	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	10c	10,792$1,071 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,071.49	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	14c	7,175$1,022 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.47	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	14c	5,973$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$829.03	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	15c	5,011$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.48	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked Yes	2c	4,830$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.1	272	24.3%66 W · 206 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	+30.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes	13c	4,248$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$548.1	50	24%12 W · 38 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	9c	3,600$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.98	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	11c	3,574$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.36	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x028d…feccbacked Yes	15c	3,465$506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505.7	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	-4.4wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…04cebacked Yes	10c	3,390$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.38	119	32.8%39 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	13c	2,810$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.95	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	9c	2,788$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.53	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	8c	2,759$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.39	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	5c	2,661$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.51	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…77acbacked Yes	1c	2,589$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.35	159	25.2%40 W · 119 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	20cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	9c	2,567$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.18	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	10c	2,517$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.92	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	78c	2,288$1,778 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$510.55	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked No	79c	2,065$1,638 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.47	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1c9…fadabacked Yes	15c	2,059$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$308.72	28	21.4%6 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	25cpaid	-40.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	18c	2,006$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.01	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	16c	1,846$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.84	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	5c	1,779$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.45	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e7…1b5bbacked Yes	13c	1,738$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.26	149	28.2%42 W · 107 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	3c	1,661$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.84	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	23c	1,643$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.19	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3690…e16fbacked No	79c	1,608$1,271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.38	103	30.1%31 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	11c	1,599$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$181.21	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2535…4278backed Yes	8c	1,577$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.26	12	83.3%10 W · 2 L	+3.9wins	+0.32per pick	51cpaid	+44%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes	11c	1,538$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.06	66	10.6%7 W · 59 L	-5.3wins	-0.08per pick	19cpaid	-64.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4473…28adbacked Yes	13c	1,500$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	184	19%35 W · 149 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	+42.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes	13c	1,498$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$197.7	83	21.7%18 W · 65 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa230…1cdbbacked Yes	5c	1,447$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.34	105	21.9%23 W · 82 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	+24.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f28…7d8ebacked Yes	10c	1,428$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.16	64	21.9%14 W · 50 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x33d4…c167backed Yes	10c	1,317$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125.54	177	23.2%41 W · 136 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xece4…f0b1backed Yes	7c	1,308$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x913f…c676backed Yes	7c	1,286$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	100	43%43 W · 57 L	-7.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-31.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	5c	1,269$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.56	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	13c	1,267$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.5	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b3e…74d0backed Yes	35c	1,257$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4355…c5d4backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	50	14%7 W · 43 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-61.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.82	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	6c	1,191$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.27	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	9c	1,100$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.97	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…5762backed Yes	4c	1,099$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4a5…e6dbbacked Yes	28c	1,077$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.1wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes	1c	1,029$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.45	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	21cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf262…c56dbacked Yes	4c	1,026$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.87	483	10.1%49 W · 434 L	-2.6wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…8e51backed Yes	10c	1,010$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.03	161	10.6%17 W · 144 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	8c	1,000$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.9	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	4c	999.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7de…537abacked Yes	14c	999.99$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138	47	10.6%5 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	+93.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed Yes	6c	991.82$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.51	230	19.1%44 W · 186 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	13c	984.9$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.89	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	4c	983.71$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.85	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	76c	967.94$731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$236.64	81	48.1%39 W · 42 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc61…6d5fbacked Yes	15c	958$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.13	4	25%1 W · 3 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	16c	953.2$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.02	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x582c…eb16backed Yes	15c	947.28$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.51	116	13.8%16 W · 100 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	74c	937.44$690 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$247.82	221	60.2%133 W · 88 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d87…4f67backed Yes	15c	882.73$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.98	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5e5…ed1cbacked Yes	11c	874.04$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	24cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes	8c	863.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.1	118	9.3%11 W · 107 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	77c	842.88$651 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$191.69	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	23c	833.62$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	6c	812.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94f4…ea54backed Yes	10c	809.48$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.39	128	28.1%36 W · 92 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	10c	808.02$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.84	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	9c	761.22$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.47	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ee3…600ebacked Yes	5c	759$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+3.7wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed Yes	9c	739.68$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.99	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+18.0wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd79a…9167backed Yes	18c	705.75$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.73	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked Yes	14c	699.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	149	23.5%35 W · 114 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86ff…7bfdbacked Yes	7c	690.86$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x55e8…c488backed Yes	11c	673.44$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.34	38	26.3%10 W · 28 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3c…fc78backed Yes	3c	673.43$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.82	26	73.1%19 W · 7 L	+3.9wins	+0.15per pick	58cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	9c	636.28$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.33	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	10c	629.44$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.94	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	5c	625.97$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.16	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f05…ba7bbacked No	80c	608.05$484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.33	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	11c	600$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.97	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a65…ecdfbacked Yes	8c	575$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.25	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	17cpaid	+14.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	12c	570.45$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0199…5ffbbacked Yes	9c	567.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	37.5%15 W · 25 L	+2.1wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0fe…e5edbacked Yes	11c	567.18$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.35	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	15c	546.77$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.95	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	9c	540$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	14c	522.53$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.4	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	19c	520.12$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.7	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92a0…5fdcbacked Yes	10c	500$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	212	33%70 W · 142 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked No	72c	500$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3d77…7004backed Yes	33c	499.99$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	22cpaid	-38%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b3b…5ae2backed Yes	15c	496.79$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.31	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	35cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d8…cf06backed Yes	7c	478.31$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.63	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9a3a…4580backed Yes	19c	471.45$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	44	29.5%13 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	13c	459.03$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.16	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b27…0b98backed Yes	6c	448.83$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.93	344	27%93 W · 251 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53fb…e92abacked Yes	8c	431.26$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	107	33.6%36 W · 71 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	17c	409.52$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.62	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

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Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?this page
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Yes won
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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