Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d6f9239f72b9473241c1cfd9eba92f726eb23cb077d292460088a8c26067fb5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,197
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $237,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,197 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 8c | 14,296$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.73 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Yes | 2c | 11,012$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 3c | 9,902$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.54 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…1762backed Yes | 25c | 7,706$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.76 | 88 | 12.5%11 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 5c | 7,559$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.26 | 514 | 10.5%54 W · 460 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes | 0c | 7,517$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 627 | 13.2%83 W · 544 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…3493backed Yes | 5c | 6,041$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.21 | 1,067 | 8.3%89 W · 978 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbeab…d961backed Yes | 2c | 5,193$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 148 | 29.1%43 W · 105 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…8983backed Yes | 2c | 5,105$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 124 | 21.8%27 W · 97 L | +11.8wins | +0.10per pick | 12cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…5d51backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 313 | 4.8%15 W · 298 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d55…cd90backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 20%10 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes | 6c | 5,000$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.55 | 164 | 27.4%45 W · 119 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…4b09backed Yes | 1c | 4,999$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 798 | 11.3%90 W · 708 L | +30.0wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,979$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 2,163 | 3.9%85 W · 2,078 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,275$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.82 | 456 | 8.3%38 W · 418 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe243…af59backed Yes | 5c | 4,099$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 364 | 11%40 W · 324 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked Yes | 1c | 3,960$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x001f…9cb5backed Yes | 1c | 3,885$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.19 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Yes | 5c | 3,883$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.34 | 158 | 44.9%71 W · 87 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 1c | 3,442$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.83 | 624 | 12.3%77 W · 547 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…99c7backed Yes | 1c | 3,260$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 253 | 11.5%29 W · 224 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eed…2050backed Yes | 15c | 3,160$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.44 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 12c | 3,055$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.86 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa25a…3e8ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 63 | 12.7%8 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd317…025abacked Yes | 1c | 2,834$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 220 | 23.6%52 W · 168 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…569cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,812$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,800$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.7 | 185 | 11.4%21 W · 164 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6869…0484backed Yes | 3c | 2,699$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.28 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7acd…1086backed Yes | 1c | 2,651$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 130 | 8.5%11 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac88…9b35backed Yes | 1c | 2,600$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 66 | 6.1%4 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 3c | 2,416$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.32 | 149 | 23.5%35 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…5519backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea1e…2858backed Yes | 11c | 2,064$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.07 | 117 | 29.1%34 W · 83 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…be8ebacked Yes | 7c | 2,044$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 232 | 12.1%28 W · 204 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 2c | 1,923$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 114 | 18.4%21 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 10cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…28adbacked Yes | 7c | 1,796$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.59 | 184 | 19%35 W · 149 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,718$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.7 | 250 | 12.8%32 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…57b2backed Yes | 2c | 1,677$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +105%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 10c | 1,524$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.44 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 2c | 1,513$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 509 | 13.8%70 W · 439 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b3…98f4backed Yes | 3c | 1,495$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.57 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,454$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.18 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 2c | 1,445$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 229 | 26.6%61 W · 168 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61e…6906backed Yes | 3c | 1,442$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fb…af41backed Yes | 2c | 1,411$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e44…a6bebacked Yes | 23c | 1,389$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.28 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,199$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.93 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 32c | 1,197$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.5 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a0…dea8backed Yes | 10c | 1,173$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.34 | 576 | 21.2%122 W · 454 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7de…537abacked Yes | 1c | 1,137$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 3c | 1,130$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 10c | 1,115$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x828e…c21bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 274 | 17.5%48 W · 226 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes | 18c | 1,066$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 316 | 24.7%78 W · 238 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…3bc2backed Yes | 5c | 1,046$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfca…645abacked Yes | 29c | 1,028$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.87 | 278 | 20.9%58 W · 220 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…1df7backed Yes | 5c | 1,021$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 180 | 24.4%44 W · 136 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…57c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,013$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 217 | 6%13 W · 204 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…e493backed Yes | 2c | 1,009$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.34 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb42b…afe0backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 12c | 988.74$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Yes | 12c | 963.88$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.21 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 19c | 930.9$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.61 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…99e7backed Yes | 7c | 849.6$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19dd…2a97backed Yes | 5c | 801.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…37febacked Yes | 14c | 800.47$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 316 | 21.8%69 W · 247 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 4c | 765.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 5c | 720$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4f…eb7ebacked Yes | 8c | 668.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 218 | 27.1%59 W · 159 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -27%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc331…1d71backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 114 | 17.5%20 W · 94 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e3…5e8cbacked Yes | 29c | 612.66$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.64 | 66 | 10.6%7 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…8e51backed Yes | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 161 | 10.6%17 W · 144 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…1d6dbacked Yes | 8c | 588.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 73c | 575.62$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.69 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbe…91d6backed Yes | 4c | 558.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 227 | 18.5%42 W · 185 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a5…fccdbacked Yes | 4c | 536.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…8ae1backed No | 72c | 533$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 75cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b88…52e0backed Yes | 6c | 532.11$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92d…a225backed Yes | 10c | 511.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.36 | 233 | 8.2%19 W · 214 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 3c | 505.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 17.3%24 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…82b2backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8409…753dbacked Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2379…178ebacked Yes | 3c | 500$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 78 | 26.9%21 W · 57 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 7c | 496.32$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb816…9e90backed Yes | 3c | 492.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…0985backed Yes | 4c | 477.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 121 | 17.4%21 W · 100 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes | 4c | 453.84$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 142 | 19.7%28 W · 114 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -46%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd04…2599backed Yes | 5c | 443.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 168 | 17.3%29 W · 139 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 74c | 430.06$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.03 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…5be3backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…5aebbacked Yes | 3c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 499 | 19%95 W · 404 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…7f72backed Yes | 30c | 386.88$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe55b…f1c4backed Yes | 3c | 342.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…ab8abacked Yes | 8c | 332.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 199 | 30.2%60 W · 139 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e7…1c56backed Yes | 32c | 314.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?Yes won
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.