Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0add08821acffe4d7cf3ec6531ddbd88fa3ded4a24c8ccb13b37729ce3c47b81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 205 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x302c…abcebacked No | 52c | 3,505$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,811.31 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bad…b337backed No | 1c | 2,510$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 323 | 10.5%34 W · 289 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…3fa9backed Yes | 73c | 1,988$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.14 | 313 | 19.2%60 W · 253 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b1…cc81backed No | 2c | 1,820$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 25c | 1,329$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.02 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 54c | 1,278$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.76 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 41c | 1,004$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.9 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed No | 5c | 951.7$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 69c | 932.09$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.46 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 30c | 622.01$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438 | 471 | 36.5%172 W · 299 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 62c | 565.45$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.14 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc3…b0aebacked Yes | 56c | 528.44$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.92 | 959 | 33.5%321 W · 638 L | +28.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a99…e614backed No | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 181 | 16.6%30 W · 151 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 62c | 489$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.16 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b7…8030backed Yes | 70c | 477.65$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.89 | 125 | 64.8%81 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 51c | 407.77$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.34 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 354.03$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.57 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed No | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 59c | 328.82$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.29 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 64c | 317.53$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.21 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 21c | 293.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.45 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 8c | 291.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2733…5ae8backed Yes | 18c | 287.72$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.01 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…96d7backed Yes | 31c | 273.72$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.71 | 244 | 66.8%163 W · 81 L | +20.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 31c | 260$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 50c | 251.05$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.1 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed Yes | 17c | 250.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.73 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 79c | 237$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.38 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5221…bd4dbacked Yes | 19c | 236.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.15 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -4.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…1ea9backed Yes | 76c | 231.44$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 155 | 70.3%109 W · 46 L | +23.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 46c | 216.4$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.76 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 25c | 215.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 213.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 31c | 213.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.64 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 75c | 204.86$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.51 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 31c | 202.36$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.47 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 202.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.97 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…3fb7backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 21c | 200$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 199.66$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7827…a351backed Yes | 33c | 199.64$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.65 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa200…27b0backed No | 29c | 199.55$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.04 | 154 | 35.7%55 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Yes | 36c | 196.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9110…c879backed No | 75c | 195$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 190.34$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.59 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 24c | 187.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.41 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed Yes | 18c | 181.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed Yes | 30c | 178.17$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.04 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 24c | 177.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3636…1a57backed Yes | 21c | 169$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 80c | 167.28$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.11 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 77c | 167.23$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 17c | 159.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.49 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 73c | 156.24$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 75c | 154.98$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.8 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 15c | 152.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 20c | 146.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.07 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…a4a4backed Yes | 29c | 146.26$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 192 | 17.2%33 W · 159 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 59c | 145.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.73 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f3…d2acbacked No | 17c | 145$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 27c | 141$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.33 | 135 | 31.1%42 W · 93 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 36c | 137.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.73 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb427…4c62backed No | 76c | 137.3$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.19 | 223 | 50.7%113 W · 110 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x261e…c09fbacked Yes | 27c | 130$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.9 | 118 | 35.6%42 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef22…441dbacked Yes | 28c | 129.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 14c | 128.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5059…5263backed Yes | 74c | 128.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.85 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…53d0backed No | 40c | 128.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 17c | 125.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.02 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 36c | 118.35$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.35 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 65c | 115.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…ac63backed Yes | 27c | 109.7$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.49 | 205 | 34.1%70 W · 135 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc55…838fbacked No | 73c | 108.85$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…1c48backed Yes | 24c | 108.07$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…f8b0backed No | 80c | 108$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 107.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.14 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 74c | 102.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 379 | 42.2%160 W · 219 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 381 | 38.6%147 W · 234 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…c389backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 38 | 86.8%33 W · 5 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 70cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.99 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 24c | 99.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.09 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed Yes | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 34c | 98.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 20c | 92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 25c | 90.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01eb…b04abacked Yes | 35c | 90.12$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…8d1cbacked Yes | 27c | 89.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 75c | 89.55$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 24c | 88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9f…894fbacked Yes | 46c | 88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…0cf2backed Yes | 47c | 87.72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked Yes | 16c | 86.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 2?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 2?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.