TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9a19…1e2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
443
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: World Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 50.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT41767.9%283 W · 134 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 417 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+203%+$33.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.5
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$10.11
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.99
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$85
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.99
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.48
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.73
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$73.99
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Showing 25 of 417 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.19
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+37.1%+$55.45
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$9.4
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gastonbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$8.18
Madrid Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockxbacked Francisco Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.32
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Aryna Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+39%+$872.1
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$26.87
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Linda Noskova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Vit Koprivabacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.03
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Marta Kostyuk vs Caty McNallybacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$10.38
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+36.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$23.41
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C or higher on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+400%+$80
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$19.51
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,398Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$802
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$29.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.