Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omega
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dcc3e2dc375c8fd1ee8455f701a55b6cf22a0193ff1d8ead3d5d16472887e6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,311
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,311 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked Nova Esports | 79c | 2,948$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.91 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Wolves Esports | 60c | 2,140$1,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.57 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nova Esports | 38c | 1,959$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,206.11 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Wolves Esports | 13c | 1,775$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.66 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wolves Esports | 20c | 1,719$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.79 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wolves Esports | 43c | 1,714$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.49 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…8ce3backed Nova Esports | 63c | 1,440$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.84 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Wolves Esports | 22c | 1,316$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.25 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nova Esports | 43c | 1,200$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.98 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Wolves Esports | 36c | 1,118$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.55 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed Wolves Esports | 57c | 1,062$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.53 | 196 | 55.6%109 W · 87 L | +12.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed Nova Esports | 39c | 966.4$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.51 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72cc…a957backed Nova Esports | 43c | 965.8$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nova Esports | 76c | 963.81$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Nova Esports | 32c | 887.65$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.81 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nova Esports | 55c | 854.73$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.9 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Nova Esports | 39c | 810.87$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.91 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Nova Esports | 65c | 793.17$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.61 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Nova Esports | 40c | 792.95$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 783.9$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.02 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Wolves Esports | 56c | 663.81$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.74 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 660.5$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Nova Esports | 50c | 650$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Wolves Esports | 49c | 596.3$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.78 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Nova Esports | 41c | 569.59$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Nova Esports | 40c | 563.94$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.36 | 297 | 33.3%99 W · 198 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b6…3addbacked Wolves Esports | 45c | 539.3$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa222…7d3cbacked Nova Esports | 64c | 525.06$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Wolves Esports | 37c | 524.75$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.05 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Nova Esports | 59c | 516.4$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…2639backed Nova Esports | 40c | 510$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nova Esports | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 534 | 42.1%225 W · 309 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…2133backed Wolves Esports | 55c | 500$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…36c1backed Nova Esports | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 469.23$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.12 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…0787backed Nova Esports | 56c | 447.95$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.58 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Wolves Esports | 46c | 445.72$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.54 | 348 | 57.5%200 W · 148 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Wolves Esports | 16c | 409.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.01 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nova Esports | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Wolves Esports | 61c | 395.76$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.42 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Wolves Esports | 61c | 392.24$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.27 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports | 55c | 360.28$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Wolves Esports | 35c | 356.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.93 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nova Esports | 53c | 340.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.43 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf33…0353backed Wolves Esports | 66c | 307.76$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.85 | 333 | 46.5%155 W · 178 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bef…3787backed Nova Esports | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd991…0133backed Wolves Esports | 50c | 288.91$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.86 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nova Esports | 54c | 287.36$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.21 | 347 | 39.8%138 W · 209 L | -13.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Nova Esports | 49c | 280.72$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.3 | 308 | 35.4%109 W · 199 L | -23.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nova Esports | 51c | 277.51$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Nova Esports | 39c | 269.81$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.67 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nova Esports | 53c | 268.12$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.31 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Wolves Esports | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Wolves Esports | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0486…fbe5backed Nova Esports | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Nova Esports | 32c | 228.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.57 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9b…2013backed Wolves Esports | 36c | 221.7$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 187 | 35.3%66 W · 121 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Nova Esports | 57c | 203.33$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Wolves Esports | 45c | 203$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Nova Esports | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Nova Esports | 74c | 196.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Wolves Esports | 61c | 195.32$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.15 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c94…5b86backed Nova Esports | 39c | 192.68$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Wolves Esports | 51c | 191.01$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9630…4005backed Nova Esports | 50c | 178.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Nova Esports | 42c | 167.02$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.87 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf451…9701backed Wolves Esports | 59c | 165.32$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf98a…f376backed Wolves Esports | 60c | 162.78$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Nova Esports | 40c | 159.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Wolves Esports | 42c | 136.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Nova Esports | 51c | 132.97$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Wolves Esports | 17c | 125.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Wolves Esports | 41c | 121.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Wolves Esports | 36c | 118.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.71 | 351 | 42.5%149 W · 202 L | -14.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4584…5473backed Wolves Esports | 33c | 115.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nova Esports | 40c | 115.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.41 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Nova Esports | 44c | 111.72$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Nova Esports | 51c | 109.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Nova Esports | 39c | 105.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.64 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081a…66d0backed Nova Esports | 43c | 103.96$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.26 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed Nova Esports | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Nova Esports | 39c | 99.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.99 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…6b6cbacked Wolves Esports | 59c | 99.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.52 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Wolves Esports | 56c | 97.36$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…ce89backed Nova Esports | 41c | 91.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 45cpaid | +81.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…e91cbacked Wolves Esports | 27c | 88.54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c64…929abacked Nova Esports | 59c | 87.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Wolves Esports | 45c | 85.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked Nova Esports | 64c | 82.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc64…fc2bbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 80.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b3e…5bc0backed Wolves Esports | 61c | 80.05$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.83 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Nova Esports | 39c | 74.11$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Wolves Esports | 61c | 73.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.89 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked Nova Esports | 40c | 69.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed Wolves Esports | 59c | 66.13$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 64cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Wolves Esports | 60c | 63.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…14cdbacked Wolves Esports | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Nova Esports | 47c | 55.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 269 | 32.3%87 W · 182 L | -25.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x842e…9173backed Wolves Esports | 36c | 53.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wolves Esports | 41c | 51.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegathis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.