Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe531d736259b234234ea6fc1e28af958364676a1822c67565bc3708cd7c427b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,950
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,950 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Wolves Esports | 56c | 1,419$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.47 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Nova Esports | 15c | 1,273$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.96 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nova Esports | 44c | 1,200$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.99 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Nova Esports | 13c | 1,064$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.36 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Wolves Esports | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Wolves Esports | 42c | 571$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.08 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Nova Esports | 9c | 563.1$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.42 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Nova Esports | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Nova Esports | 25c | 387.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.83 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed Nova Esports | 71c | 369.12$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.04 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Wolves Esports | 55c | 338.48$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.16 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Wolves Esports | 21c | 301.26$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Wolves Esports | 59c | 298.47$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wolves Esports | 59c | 296.94$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.39 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Nova Esports | 44c | 287.54$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.73 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked Nova Esports | 68c | 244.17$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Wolves Esports | 26c | 180.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.99 | 893 | 44.3%396 W · 497 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nova Esports | 38c | 148.54$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.09 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nova Esports | 43c | 115.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Wolves Esports | 14c | 103.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 93.85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nova Esports | 44c | 90.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Nova Esports | 39c | 81.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Wolves Esports | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 268 | 58.6%157 W · 111 L | +18.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c14…04d9backed Wolves Esports | 29c | 65.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Wolves Esports | 21c | 58.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…a2a5backed Nova Esports | 57c | 54.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b5…a423backed Wolves Esports | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nova Esports | 67c | 47.81$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Nova Esports | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Wolves Esports | 38c | 35.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 999 | 45.9%459 W · 540 L | -27.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Nova Esports | 32c | 32.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -29.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Wolves Esports | 63c | 30.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…0927backed Wolves Esports | 55c | 25.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Nova Esports | 46c | 23.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 196 | 61.7%121 W · 75 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Nova Esports | 57c | 18.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.