Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf232a7d3c245d5824d1dbc7ddb5149a651c7ca0f5c949d76f2d62d804f3c8b0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nova Esportsof Nova Esports, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8061…a32bbacked Nova Esports | 46c | 3,765$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.43 | 33 | 78.8%26 W · 7 L | +6.5wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Wolves Esports | 60c | 1,641$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.41 | 450 | 33.8%152 W · 298 L | -35.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nova Esports | 43c | 1,070$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.38 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Nova Esports | 51c | 943.48$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Wolves Esports | 63c | 782.49$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.81 | 353 | 31.2%110 W · 243 L | -29.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Wolves Esports | 72c | 729.2$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.6 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wolves Esports | 45c | 700.42$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.08 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Wolves Esports | 62c | 675.23$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.44 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Nova Esports | 45c | 608.06$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 320 | 47.8%153 W · 167 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Wolves Esports | 18c | 599.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 600 | 22.7%136 W · 464 L | -26.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Wolves Esports | 36c | 507.99$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Nova Esports | 45c | 441.04$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.57 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Wolves Esports | 60c | 383.63$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.18 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Nova Esports | 40c | 341.85$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.32 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2371…d59fbacked Nova Esports | 74c | 298.32$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Wolves Esports | 37c | 293.47$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wolves Esports | 66c | 288.98$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.63 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Wolves Esports | 69c | 265.46$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.17 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wolves Esports | 64c | 262.64$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Wolves Esports | 55c | 221.21$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.34 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Nova Esports | 31c | 204.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +11.1wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Nova Esports | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Wolves Esports | 63c | 195.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Wolves Esports | 59c | 194.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.53 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked Nova Esports | 33c | 191$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.9 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Nova Esports | 38c | 185.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Nova Esports | 32c | 168.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.42 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Wolves Esports | 60c | 152.19$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Wolves Esports | 56c | 133.27$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nova Esports | 40c | 130.73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.84 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Nova Esports | 49c | 111.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fa…a8f4backed Nova Esports | 73c | 111.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 88 | 65.9%58 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa306…a39dbacked Wolves Esports | 61c | 101.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Wolves Esports | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Nova Esports | 26c | 97.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.69 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ef…813bbacked Wolves Esports | 33c | 96.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Nova Esports | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 349 | 54.7%191 W · 158 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89bc…a463backed Wolves Esports | 70c | 54.79$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f96…098abacked Nova Esports | 52c | 47.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Wolves Esports | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Wolves Esports | 53c | 39.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Wolves Esports | 61c | 34.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Wolves Esports | 42c | 32.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Wolves Esports | 67c | 32.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…2e9abacked Wolves Esports | 55c | 29.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 267 | 58.8%157 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Wolves Esports | 59c | 29.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed Wolves Esports | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 152 | 55.9%85 W · 67 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b6…1903backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 263 | 54.4%143 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group OmegaNova Esports won
- Valorant: Nova Esports vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 WinnerNova Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.