TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Monteof Monte, NIP
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$404,525
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,645

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $404,525 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 328 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1a5c…a375backed NIP50c159,952$79,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,659.725238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Monte53c158,405$83,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74,810.6923355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Monte46c18,455$8,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,975.175652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP68c11,961$8,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,188.772,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed NIP1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10048437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed NIP54c9,116$4,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,922.785444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked NIP55c8,829$4,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,860.5264852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Monte42c7,812$3,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,535.861,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Monte46c7,781$3,579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,201.4836152.6%190 W · 171 L+13.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc405…4affbacked Monte53c7,120$3,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,352.5616355.8%91 W · 72 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked Monte49c7,035$3,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,586.847054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed NIP54c5,916$3,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,194.688951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Monte48c5,422$2,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,813.9765650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP53c5,131$2,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,696.357,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Monte49c4,428$2,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.113357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Monte45c4,175$1,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.4522142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked NIP54c3,475$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.2484454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed NIP21c3,063$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.1310044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked NIP46c2,985$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.551,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed NIP53c2,984$1,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.6925842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfee…ed1fbacked NIP13c2,704$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.5416920.1%34 W · 135 L-16.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed Monte44c2,450$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,379.514950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ab2…b321backed Monte43c2,386$1,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.11955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick37cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked NIP61c2,273$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.63,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf04…ad65backed Monte54c2,192$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.787545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6dd…40cebacked Monte54c2,162$1,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995.113778.4%29 W · 8 L+6.3wins+0.17per pick61cpaid+34.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeed5…7f92backed NIP50c1,979$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.9933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Monte48c1,974$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.214,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Monte71c1,973$1,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.5683652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1066…1786backed Monte43c1,926$828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+99.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4048…d4adbacked Monte45c1,918$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0644820.8%10 W · 38 L-8.2wins-0.17per pick38cpaid-54.9%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2944…cc4ebacked NIP68c1,814$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Monte47c1,806$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$949.731,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Monte44c1,773$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.7720249%99 W · 103 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04ec…232abacked Monte52c1,750$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.996437.5%24 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Monte42c1,737$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.6129858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte51c1,535$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.431,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed NIP38c1,460$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.211434.2%39 W · 75 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Monte46c1,455$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.318341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc2f…a15fbacked NIP46c1,374$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.4119055.8%106 W · 84 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f75…331fbacked Monte46c1,340$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2362…6fd5backed Monte47c1,310$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44d9…01e3backed NIP54c1,300$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.251050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked Monte46c1,216$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.7935947.9%172 W · 187 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked NIP54c1,211$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.1920458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked NIP65c1,205$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.2541054.6%224 W · 186 L-2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x91e8…f1abbacked Monte50c1,156$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.0518654.8%102 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed NIP24c1,144$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.5657322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Monte44c1,090$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.261,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed NIP53c1,020$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.9733359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Monte53c1,004$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.9981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed NIP54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.2218547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x449c…eaf5backed Monte52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked NIP47c996.5$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.3629235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa094…3f07backed Monte33c983.44$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.5724942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Monte56c956.21$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.734568.9%31 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Monte43c946.32$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.866446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba9c…3737backed NIP6c944.48$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe034…4fa9backed NIP54c903.59$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.941872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Monte41c900$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53176546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked NIP30c895.98$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.3948319%92 W · 391 L-65.4wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-46.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9a19…1e2ebacked NIP61c878.29$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534.03366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Monte36c865.38$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.6278043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa222…7d3cbacked Monte30c854.45$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.441833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed NIP29c833.15$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.7867651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed NIP17c805.82$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.041,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x46f1…701fbacked Monte43c785.05$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.325759.6%34 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP70c776.91$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.845,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Monte41c757$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.1156732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Monte28c743.41$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.2566753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Monte54c737.98$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6418442.9%79 W · 105 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e61…2adfbacked Monte46c727.94$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed Monte45c722.48$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.452951.4%272 W · 257 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed NIP19c713.36$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.581,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed NIP71c699.99$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.9925248.8%123 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Monte39c697.03$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.6757358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Monte48c687.91$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.7242050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed NIP54c687.4$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1942638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed NIP48c668.63$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.6741847.1%197 W · 221 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0524…9dcebacked Monte29c659.22$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+76.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x734e…5ba1backed NIP54c650.07$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.04100%0 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xecc9…4df4backed Monte47c624.08$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.72744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb62e…ae6bbacked NIP50c613.04$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.654447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x236b…26b7backed Monte43c571.75$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.933044.5%147 W · 183 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Monte39c564.57$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.7110950.5%55 W · 54 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce80…08edbacked Monte53c550.08$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.5411947.1%56 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Monte66c544.69$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.821968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecee…2120backed Monte45c540.91$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.5650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Monte54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.535341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Monte33c539.74$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.765,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed NIP43c514.25$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.941,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked NIP46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23032832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Monte52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0551…3d39backed Monte45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Monte45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27513240.9%54 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f8…f76ebacked Monte45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4378…234abacked NIP53c499.99$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.99333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9693…1c29backed NIP53c499.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Monte48c498.63$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.2940655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed NIP48c492.84$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.5633146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.