CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62e6241d26a0157d48c9fcc9b9568b01fb76cefaf0de65ccefe9f93c64f8a24a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monteof Monte, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked NIP | 33c | 4,248$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.18 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked NIP | 44c | 2,439$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.9 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed NIP | 12c | 2,057$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.84 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Monte | 55c | 1,777$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.81 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NIP | 10c | 1,290$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Monte | 58c | 1,287$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.57 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…e4c9backed NIP | 21c | 1,185$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.46 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaf…9206backed NIP | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed NIP | 10c | 976.2$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NIP | 43c | 945.58$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.6 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte | 57c | 910.75$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.51 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked NIP | 10c | 786.6$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed NIP | 45c | 735.98$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.19 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Monte | 63c | 726.14$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed NIP | 11c | 696.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed NIP | 22c | 561.15$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.74 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Monte | 56c | 560.16$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed NIP | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed NIP | 46c | 483.8$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.55 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked NIP | 7c | 482.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked NIP | 40c | 476.51$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.66 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Monte | 57c | 453$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.79 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed NIP | 42c | 400$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Monte | 55c | 348.27$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.85 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked Monte | 56c | 346.77$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.03 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a21…ba51backed Monte | 57c | 341.82$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NIP | 8c | 329.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Monte | 57c | 309.35$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed NIP | 18c | 267.41$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Monte | 76c | 262.4$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.58 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed NIP | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked Monte | 54c | 250$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked NIP | 29c | 224.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Monte | 65c | 199.09$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed NIP | 50c | 195.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…4141backed Monte | 58c | 194.96$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Monte | 50c | 177.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Monte | 57c | 170.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.49 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 8c | 158$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked NIP | 16c | 156.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…4022backed NIP | 45c | 150.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed NIP | 46c | 115.69$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed NIP | 12c | 107.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed NIP | 25c | 105.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 11c | 100.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Monte | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed NIP | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Monte | 61c | 95.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eba…33bdbacked NIP | 31c | 93.76$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Monte | 78c | 92.28$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked NIP | 46c | 87.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.06 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Monte | 58c | 84.49$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed NIP | 29c | 82.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked NIP | 45c | 73.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.19 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed NIP | 47c | 66.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bc…7e01backed NIP | 43c | 63.77$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb84d…d140backed Monte | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 76cpaid | -47%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Monte | 53c | 58.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…0056backed NIP | 45c | 53.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Monte | 77c | 52.83$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Monte | 54c | 41.6$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Monte | 53c | 38.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed NIP | 45c | 36.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed Monte | 55c | 35.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 79 | 72.2%57 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…4b6dbacked Monte | 63c | 31.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…57d0backed NIP | 47c | 30.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Monte | 75c | 29.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked Monte | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed Monte | 78c | 28.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 84 | 13.1%11 W · 73 L | -13.9wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Monte | 67c | 27.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Monte | 57c | 27.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked Monte | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Monte | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Monte | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Monte | 56c | 24.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…37a2backed Monte | 55c | 21.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Monte | 71c | 14.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 1 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.