CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf59210afd4b8496d5256187e2ab9d5c0b7b4cdbdbbd8bbd66a9e90309ff66e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof Monte, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,198
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,198 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Monte | 29c | 11,923$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.98 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked NIP | 73c | 11,175$8,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,017.14 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Monte | 43c | 6,781$2,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.13 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte | 23c | 4,194$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69bf…0c5dbacked NIP | 63c | 3,593$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,317.09 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Monte | 22c | 3,525$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.84 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NIP | 59c | 2,242$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$908.72 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Monte | 20c | 2,112$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.83 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte | 16c | 1,898$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.18 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Monte | 27c | 1,434$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.26 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Monte | 28c | 1,433$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.26 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed NIP | 48c | 808.45$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.14 | 161 | 55.9%90 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Monte | 60c | 789.18$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.64 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Monte | 29c | 772.65$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Monte | 23c | 652.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 203 | 44.3%90 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Monte | 25c | 650.54$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 65c | 616.4$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.18 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked NIP | 53c | 602.08$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.93 | 292 | 35.6%104 W · 188 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Monte | 29c | 525.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.75 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked NIP | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed NIP | 62c | 473.97$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Monte | 24c | 448.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.99 | 567 | 38.8%220 W · 347 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Monte | 40c | 424.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.66 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Monte | 36c | 421.31$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.62 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Monte | 29c | 361.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked NIP | 67c | 359.62$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.89 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Monte | 34c | 337.51$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.79 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb62e…ae6bbacked NIP | 65c | 301.96$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.11 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Monte | 72c | 299.04$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.77 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Monte | 29c | 269.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked NIP | 55c | 267$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed NIP | 55c | 265.36$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Monte | 37c | 255.3$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Monte | 45c | 244.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.51 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NIP | 60c | 239.39$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.34 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x656d…e4c9backed NIP | 75c | 236.31$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed NIP | 11c | 227$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.03 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked NIP | 37c | 225.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.9 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked NIP | 59c | 219.3$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.13 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed NIP | 69c | 203.96$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Monte | 21c | 196.51$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.15 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Monte | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed NIP | 57c | 175.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.62 | 419 | 38.9%163 W · 256 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…2075backed Monte | 29c | 166.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed NIP | 38c | 152.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.75 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Monte | 34c | 147.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Monte | 20c | 142.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 172 | 36%62 W · 110 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NIP | 44c | 137.71$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.79 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed NIP | 67c | 134.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…a265backed NIP | 76c | 122.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 189 | 43.9%83 W · 106 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x595c…3b03backed Monte | 28c | 115.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 151 | 57%86 W · 65 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Monte | 29c | 104.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Monte | 31c | 99.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 80c | 98.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Monte | 46c | 98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.71 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked NIP | 58c | 93.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed NIP | 67c | 93.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 250 | 42.8%107 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Monte | 31c | 91.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Monte | 16c | 84.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Monte | 46c | 80.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Monte | 57c | 77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Monte | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…6de8backed NIP | 59c | 61.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a18…554cbacked Monte | 26c | 60.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Monte | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked NIP | 67c | 59.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed NIP | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked NIP | 73c | 54.12$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 480 | 52.3%251 W · 229 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed NIP | 51c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NIP | 56c | 51.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed NIP | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Monte | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 217 | 41%89 W · 128 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Monte | 45c | 48.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x195e…adb1backed NIP | 38c | 47.09$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked NIP | 69c | 46.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed NIP | 70c | 46.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Monte | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed NIP | 73c | 36.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed NIP | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed NIP | 73c | 31.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…d9f7backed Monte | 42c | 26.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba27…6a7ebacked NIP | 55c | 25.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked NIP | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…52d2backed NIP | 62c | 23.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.98 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed NIP | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed NIP | 70c | 22.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked NIP | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed NIP | 60c | 17.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsMonte won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerMonte won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.