TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe034…4fa9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
29
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
0

Best Category: Lol, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 51.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$24.06
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$74.98
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$64.46
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$66.34
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.11
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$329.46
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$110
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$443Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$110.85
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$125.05
Counter-Strike: Monte vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.94
Counter-Strike: BIG vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$158.33
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs NIP (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$739Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$260.41
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs BIG (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+30%+$170.64
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.36
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Sharks (BO3) - CCT Global Finals Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$436Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$214.5
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffsbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$72.66
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1080%8 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$266.13
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$848Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+32%+$271.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winnerbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+38%+$114.06
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$240.61
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$101.08
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.8
LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$56.01
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$135
LoL: LYON vs FlyQuest - Game 1 Winnerbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37%+$108.37
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$62.56
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canadabacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$26.81
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.