TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Inner Circle Esports, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$148,552
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,527

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,552 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3818…9797backed Sharks79c5,033$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.198361.4%51 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Inner Circle Esports44c4,787$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,094.955,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf61a…5943backed Sharks59c4,750$2,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,947.499040%36 W · 54 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks57c4,001$2,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,727.524,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Inner Circle Esports53c3,500$1,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,854.9944551.2%228 W · 217 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Sharks60c2,730$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.482,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Sharks66c2,555$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.996266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Inner Circle Esports48c2,217$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,055.8463457.1%362 W · 272 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed Inner Circle Esports53c1,890$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.6918356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Inner Circle Esports58c1,882$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.7292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Inner Circle Esports57c1,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Inner Circle Esports56c1,561$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.9227548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed Sharks42c1,500$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.995935.6%21 W · 38 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Sharks60c1,495$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.233,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sharks59c1,345$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.893,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Inner Circle Esports48c1,275$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.4560540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle Esports46c1,042$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.643,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle Esports43c948.84$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.725,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed Sharks59c847.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.8512154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Sharks36c840.12$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.1219546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Inner Circle Esports50c797.82$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39748437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Sharks46c784.91$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.8537845.5%172 W · 206 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Sharks53c774.58$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.468172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle Esports56c750$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.042,79837.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L-138.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Sharks55c750$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.556239.5%222 W · 340 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Sharks45c749.98$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.4987351.2%447 W · 426 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle Esports34c669.1$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.442,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x885a…8bfdbacked Sharks75c665.24$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.642356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle Esports46c647.43$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.853,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Sharks43c600$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3436540%26 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x180e…b3a6backed Sharks51c591.33$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.3312535.2%44 W · 81 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Sharks51c556.26$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.881,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Sharks49c500$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.57742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed Sharks47c416.72$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.865527.3%15 W · 40 L-10.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-44.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3a9d…9805backed Inner Circle Esports50c403.2$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Sharks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20021247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7f4…88e6backed Inner Circle Esports24c391.92$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9612027.5%33 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Sharks52c383.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.551,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Sharks43c375.63$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.5918154.7%99 W · 82 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05ed…64fbbacked Sharks56c372.76$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.861060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Inner Circle Esports44c364.02$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.941,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad1…8f0ebacked Inner Circle Esports40c353.16$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404158.5%24 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Inner Circle Esports57c351.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20035749.9%178 W · 179 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Inner Circle Esports47c338.99$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8175438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle Esports50c314.56$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7543544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Inner Circle Esports66c304.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed Inner Circle Esports45c290$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.235153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Sharks45c273.27$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.4543253%229 W · 203 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Sharks77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7444675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Sharks71c253.54$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.43,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…cbe5backed Sharks79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.164459.1%26 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Inner Circle Esports63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.535744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…9bf9backed Sharks43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.567748.1%37 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x974a…8efdbacked Inner Circle Esports42c231.04$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.4750%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Inner Circle Esports45c223.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.714,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Sharks55c222.48$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.3940972.4%296 W · 113 L+38.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Inner Circle Esports40c220.41$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1661834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc315…a989backed Inner Circle Esports48c207.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0214322.4%32 W · 111 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc056…e188backed Inner Circle Esports48c206.27$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.238751.7%45 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Inner Circle Esports57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11441950.1%210 W · 209 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe00a…d1f4backed Sharks64c192.98$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.082744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked Sharks65c188.65$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.2637441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Sharks56c183.65$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.52,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Sharks44c169.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8347447.5%225 W · 249 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Sharks37c160$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.21,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked Sharks64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Sharks77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.535460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe416…7fc0backed Sharks65c141.57$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.555156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3d…51b8backed Inner Circle Esports20c140$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287247.2%34 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed Sharks48c135.54$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4852150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e93…eb10backed Inner Circle Esports76c131.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005570.9%39 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Inner Circle Esports47c128.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0127748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4704…515ebacked Inner Circle Esports55c126.18$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6937140.7%151 W · 220 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Inner Circle Esports37c126$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.072,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Sharks58c122.13$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4257358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Inner Circle Esports30c118.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.9625042.4%106 W · 144 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Inner Circle Esports45c112$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3664046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Inner Circle Esports48c105.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.162,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xe000…26febacked Inner Circle Esports49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked Inner Circle Esports49c101.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7623129%67 W · 164 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac06…f93dbacked Inner Circle Esports47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4711345.1%51 W · 62 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Inner Circle Esports60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6040255.2%222 W · 180 L+2.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Inner Circle Esports20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5f…31d1backed Inner Circle Esports20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206820.6%14 W · 54 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-47.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Inner Circle Esports55c99.04$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4736749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ca2…1798backed Sharks73c98$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6615277.6%118 W · 34 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick73cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7886…ec60backed Sharks38c96.74$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.49145.1%41 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb400…78e2backed Sharks77c95.88$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.057060%42 W · 28 L+0.3wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe034…4fa9backed Sharks74c92.53$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.061872.2%13 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle Esports55c84.49$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.664,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccce…58dabacked Sharks49c81.9$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.961346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Inner Circle Esports48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.419954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cd2…648cbacked Inner Circle Esports20c80$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614551%74 W · 71 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Inner Circle Esports44c77.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7759044.9%265 W · 325 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Inner Circle Esports51c75.15$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.362,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd181…6a2bbacked Sharks79c68.35$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.355757.9%33 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b22…377ebacked Inner Circle Esports64c68.2$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3336174.8%270 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa02…8b07backed Inner Circle Esports75c66.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5049866.9%333 W · 165 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked Sharks47c63.24$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2453145.4%241 W · 290 L-18.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Inner Circle Esports42c62.17$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.212,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.