TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Inner Circle Esports, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$267,837

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2529…548abacked Sharks60c9,946$5,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,947.43,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Inner Circle Esports21c9,142$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.812,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8d…febfbacked Sharks64c4,673$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,673.416344.8%73 W · 90 L-32.6wins-0.20per pick65cpaid-34.1%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Inner Circle Esports33c4,506$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.1643544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Inner Circle Esports46c4,075$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,893.434,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed Inner Circle Esports28c3,863$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,066.3561034.3%209 W · 401 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ce6…9469backed Inner Circle Esports43c2,653$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Inner Circle Esports44c2,182$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.782,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed Inner Circle Esports44c2,065$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902.818361.4%51 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e20…a1aabacked Sharks60c2,003$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.212560%15 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick65cpaid+17.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sharks56c1,882$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$826.473,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Sharks54c1,752$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.642,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…06ddbacked Sharks73c1,500$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4056266.1%41 W · 21 L+6.5wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x71a9…da0abacked Sharks57c1,491$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.441070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked Inner Circle Esports43c1,382$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.1131647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27ea…863dbacked Inner Circle Esports43c1,325$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567.666540%26 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00a…d1f4backed Inner Circle Esports52c1,324$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6892744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Sharks71c1,320$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.8917162%106 W · 65 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f8c…9a58backed Sharks73c1,250$908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.55646.4%26 W · 30 L-6.1wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Inner Circle Esports43c1,131$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.192,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Sharks57c1,097$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.341,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed Sharks56c1,070$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.2720156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Inner Circle Esports43c1,060$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.442,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Sharks53c1,023$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.4619546.2%90 W · 105 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Inner Circle Esports43c1,017$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.7537145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Sharks55c1,006$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.525,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Sharks50c1,000$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49794645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Sharks60c949$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.4857358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Inner Circle Esports44c900$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39625651.2%131 W · 125 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4377…74c2backed Inner Circle Esports46c899.04$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.555527.3%15 W · 40 L-10.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-44.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Sharks70c881.9$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.927548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked Inner Circle Esports23c870.92$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0343152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Inner Circle Esports42c869.5$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.43,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Inner Circle Esports49c850$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4187742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked Inner Circle Esports42c811.28$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.1563157.1%360 W · 271 L+40.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7460…de6ebacked Inner Circle Esports48c805$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.443951.7%227 W · 212 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Sharks47c797.92$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.921,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c9e…66cbbacked Sharks56c714.2$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.371060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+39.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed Sharks64c687.64$437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.967372.2%486 W · 187 L+119.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x2411…d620backed Inner Circle Esports5c686.76$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.51330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd052…563dbacked Sharks73c600.93$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.932466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82d2…beeabacked Sharks61c583.63$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.181,01152.3%529 W · 482 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Inner Circle Esports52c572.43$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.4913253.8%71 W · 61 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ed…1ea1backed Inner Circle Esports43c556.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5114151.8%73 W · 68 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed Inner Circle Esports47c551.69$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.7140141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf56c…fcbdbacked Sharks57c547.74$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.5335449.7%176 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d67…5f14backed Inner Circle Esports32c546.39$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.361233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Sharks55c517.27$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.7741250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ed…64fbbacked Sharks73c506.66$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.41060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Inner Circle Esports44c502.04$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.259561.1%58 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…4371backed Inner Circle Esports46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23085851.6%443 W · 415 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Sharks54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23032832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Sharks54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Sharks54c499.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.9935744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7643…fb95backed Inner Circle Esports45c476.63$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.488452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Inner Circle Esports43c472.47$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.742,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Sharks55c461.67$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1940155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked Inner Circle Esports46c418.18$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.3689248%428 W · 464 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Sharks51c393.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8676546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Sharks47c383.56$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5821247.6%101 W · 111 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Sharks65c383.11$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.017742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Sharks40c375$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.228651%146 W · 140 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Sharks59c372.15$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.082,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Inner Circle Esports52c358$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.6249143%211 W · 280 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Sharks56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141,16354.3%631 W · 532 L-38.8wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98eb…8c14backed Sharks56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.14988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.37per pick52cpaid+78.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe7ff…3506backed Sharks76c352.83$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.859534.7%33 W · 62 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x655c…1a00backed Inner Circle Esports44c350$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1541338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-33.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Sharks71c341$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0945646.9%214 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed Inner Circle Esports38c340$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1614037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Inner Circle Esports34c338.47$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3266436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fb0…6197backed Inner Circle Esports45c328$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.68958.4%52 W · 37 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Inner Circle Esports34c301.44$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.353,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked Sharks58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12635460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x788c…b217backed Sharks55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-17.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Inner Circle Esports40c298.1$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.914,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Sharks62c293.06$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.041,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed Inner Circle Esports51c291.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Inner Circle Esports40c285.4$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.042,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Inner Circle Esports28c285.36$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.523,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Sharks50c280.63$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.972,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked Sharks72c272.74$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9239772.5%288 W · 109 L+38.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x31ab…20e9backed Sharks58c267.71$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7114048.6%68 W · 72 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Inner Circle Esports42c266.76$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6775438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Inner Circle Esports42c262.54$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0158745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Inner Circle Esports28c262.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.321,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Sharks66c261.55$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.714,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Inner Circle Esports41c251.94$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.355738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe416…7fc0backed Sharks55c251$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.955156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddbd…bcb5backed Sharks57c250.88$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8816720.4%34 W · 133 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-35.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7556…0f44backed Inner Circle Esports58c246.7$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.547851.3%40 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8475…39a0backed Sharks78c244.41$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.411241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Inner Circle Esports34c229.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.352,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Sharks53c209.98$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.891,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Inner Circle Esports45c204.94$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.377,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Inner Circle Esports39c202.56$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6760032.3%194 W · 406 L-49.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-38.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Inner Circle Esports5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked Inner Circle Esports17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.68542.4%36 W · 49 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Sharks60c195.02$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3318154.7%99 W · 82 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Inner Circle Esports46c193.12$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4383543.6%364 W · 471 L-9.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.