Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x854c990fd9d7f1069fcb218f8c87d153d495d3128ca335e7f8ee181537c53c75
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Karmine Corp, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $432,921
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $530,442
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $432,921 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Shifters | 19c | 60,651$11,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,127.52 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed Shifters | 73c | 22,621$16,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,018.36 | 893 | 47%420 W · 473 L | +44.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Shifters | 15c | 10,913$1,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,292.3 | 481 | 49.7%239 W · 242 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Karmine Corp | 58c | 6,953$4,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,032.69 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed Shifters | 15c | 6,187$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,260.23 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Karmine Corp | 79c | 5,913$4,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,689.37 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7553…65cabacked Shifters | 16c | 5,768$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,858.17 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shifters | 12c | 5,721$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015.49 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Shifters | 29c | 5,345$1,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,770.57 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Shifters | 15c | 5,298$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,525.34 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6842…20d0backed Shifters | 60c | 4,185$2,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.95 | 1,011 | 47.1%476 W · 535 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 3,778$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.46 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 3,770$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.66 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Karmine Corp | 1c | 3,762$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked Shifters | 36c | 3,372$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.45 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 3,333$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,333.1 | 510 | 44.1%225 W · 285 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 3,100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 239 | 43.1%103 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…fe85backed Shifters | 29c | 3,066$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.56 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Shifters | 21c | 2,995$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.54 | 354 | 31.1%110 W · 244 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 2,868$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.56 | 1,242 | 42.6%529 W · 713 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Karmine Corp | 74c | 2,855$2,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,122.62 | 1,003 | 42.5%426 W · 577 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 2,700$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Karmine Corp | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 1.6%1 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Karmine Corp | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 176 | 10.2%18 W · 158 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Karmine Corp | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Karmine Corp | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 35 | 0%0 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Karmine Corp | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 109 | 5.5%6 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Karmine Corp | 2c | 2,625$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 2,246$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.45 | 753 | 42.5%320 W · 433 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 2,240$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.97 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Karmine Corp | 61c | 2,237$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.63 | 197 | 43.7%86 W · 111 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shifters | 12c | 2,155$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896.17 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Karmine Corp | 2c | 2,150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 218 | 1.8%4 W · 214 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Shifters | 39c | 2,129$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.52 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 2,091$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.21 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…6a6abacked Karmine Corp | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedd1…45a9backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Karmine Corp | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.85 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Shifters | 57c | 1,999$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.83 | 635 | 46.6%296 W · 339 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Shifters | 14c | 1,793$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.09 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acf…fb01backed Shifters | 16c | 1,781$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,495.62 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Shifters | 63c | 1,767$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.48 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Shifters | 12c | 1,539$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78d9…70f6backed Shifters | 11c | 1,518$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.29 | 295 | 27.1%80 W · 215 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked Karmine Corp | 66c | 1,475$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.87 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d7a…87c7backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,450$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.5 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Shifters | 15c | 1,424$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.39 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…f4e0backed Karmine Corp | 51c | 1,393$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.18 | 642 | 47.4%304 W · 338 L | +24.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Karmine Corp | 53c | 1,235$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.58 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Karmine Corp | 63c | 1,205$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.87 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Karmine Corp | 64c | 1,201$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.29 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Shifters | 28c | 1,119$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.61 | 502 | 42.2%212 W · 290 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc0…6139backed Karmine Corp | 45c | 1,117$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.31 | 353 | 46.7%165 W · 188 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Karmine Corp | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Shifters | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,468 | 28.9%424 W · 1,044 L | +23.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d8…0175backed Karmine Corp | 2c | 970$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419e…deb1backed Karmine Corp | 42c | 937.12$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.38 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3c…38d3backed Shifters | 14c | 912.89$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.02 | 564 | 32.1%181 W · 383 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Shifters | 20c | 904.99$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.29 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Karmine Corp | 78c | 865.2$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.03 | 1,019 | 55.8%569 W · 450 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Shifters | 29c | 861.63$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.17 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb936…6718backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 790.04$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.47 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 750$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed Shifters | 42c | 723.72$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.29 | 366 | 43.7%160 W · 206 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…fcbdbacked Shifters | 18c | 703.74$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.29 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb538…7a1ebacked Shifters | 74c | 696.24$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a16…de20backed Karmine Corp | 75c | 601.09$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.82 | 274 | 55.8%153 W · 121 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a6…e96bbacked Shifters | 30c | 600$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 1,218 | 48.7%593 W · 625 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f9…db30backed Shifters | 39c | 600$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Shifters | 40c | 593.55$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.03 | 153 | 64.1%98 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Shifters | 25c | 590.83$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.55 | 611 | 43.5%266 W · 345 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Karmine Corp | 74c | 583.4$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.38 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Karmine Corp | 47c | 572.69$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.89 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Shifters | 47c | 542.43$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 134 | 54.5%73 W · 61 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…f22ebacked Shifters | 16c | 537.09$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.63 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Shifters | 57c | 505.94$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.94 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…2af9backed Shifters | 15c | 504.89$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.16 | 557 | 50.4%281 W · 276 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Shifters | 11c | 496.74$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.53 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Shifters | 19c | 492.96$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.3 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Karmine Corp | 17c | 469.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Karmine Corp | 50c | 465.8$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.29 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Karmine Corp | 6c | 454$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 497 | 39.4%196 W · 301 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Karmine Corp | 65c | 421.51$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.57 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Shifters | 45c | 412.69$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.39 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Shifters | 28c | 410.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.24 | 346 | 51.2%177 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Karmine Corp | 55c | 402.91$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.86 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed08…e082backed Karmine Corp | 59c | 395.68$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.63 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2eb…8979backed Karmine Corp | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.88 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Karmine Corp | 80c | 395.16$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.43 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Shifters | 12c | 394.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.31 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 389.62$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.94 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a6…a658backed Shifters | 25c | 386.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.71 | 500 | 51.6%258 W · 242 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Karmine Corp | 38c | 385.05$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x59aa…3376backed Shifters | 16c | 379.6$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.42 | 1,131 | 43.1%487 W · 644 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3976…d68ebacked Shifters | 22c | 371.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.35 | 116 | 30.2%35 W · 81 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed Karmine Corp | 52c | 371.67$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.27 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Shifters | 24c | 355.88$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.71 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Karmine Corp | 43c | 345.14$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.47 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ba…afdabacked Shifters | 24c | 334.01$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.96 | 176 | 16.5%29 W · 147 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Karmine Corp | 59c | 330.64$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.08 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.