Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x190a697e09c9692342be2eab0a344c35734132c6149f263e45bedd6f53b046ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 14c | 2,359$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,027.5 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 28c | 1,677$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.11 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 409 | 16.1%66 W · 343 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 30c | 974.58$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$682.21 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Under | 70c | 821.19$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.83 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Over | 14c | 711.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.72 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 70c | 600$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Under | 73c | 493.07$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.56 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 71c | 278.31$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 186 | 53.2%99 W · 87 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 19c | 230.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.55 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 215.05$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.13 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Over | 19c | 210.09$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.24 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 72c | 100.29$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.21 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Over | 24c | 92.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 336 | 42.3%142 W · 194 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…890cbacked Under | 76c | 90.78$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.99 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Under | 71c | 81.36$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Under | 72c | 75.57$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 72c | 58.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 72c | 58.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.47 | 382 | 57.9%221 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 73c | 55.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d1…8617backed Under | 76c | 32.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0093…be88backed Under | 72c | 27.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.66 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Under | 73c | 25.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 71c | 23.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd22…d3b0backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Under | 71c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under | 73c | 16.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 369 | 46.1%170 W · 199 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)Shifters won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.