Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21a96bf86dd17c82b418896787566c984bce8031b018baa3e7c5eeca0801695c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shiftersof Karmine Corp, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $116,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40ea…832fbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 37,039$25,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,338.98 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Shifters | 32c | 30,441$9,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,699.98 | 142 | 47.2%67 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Shifters | 32c | 28,850$9,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,622.36 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Shifters | 33c | 19,419$6,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,029.99 | 604 | 49.8%301 W · 303 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Shifters | 30c | 17,613$5,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,285.07 | 905 | 48.4%438 W · 467 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 10,300$7,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,004 | 1,102 | 53.8%593 W · 509 L | +37.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 7,195$4,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,855.56 | 704 | 56.4%397 W · 307 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ef…88a4backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 6,343$4,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,249.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 6,042$4,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.21 | 938 | 53.9%506 W · 432 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 4,991$3,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,443.65 | 826 | 52.8%436 W · 390 L | +42.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 4,715$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.61 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 4,343$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.7 | 513 | 44.2%227 W · 286 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Shifters | 31c | 3,838$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,648.06 | 131 | 35.1%46 W · 85 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 3,173$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157.76 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 1,466 | 57.6%844 W · 622 L | +38.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 2,183$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,477.46 | 1,324 | 55.7%738 W · 586 L | +43.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Karmine Corp | 69c | 2,159$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.77 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe450…a40abacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.03 | 122 | 63.1%77 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 1,032 | 52.4%541 W · 491 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 1,473$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.1 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Shifters | 32c | 1,251$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.71 | 528 | 48.9%258 W · 270 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Shifters | 33c | 1,079$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.13 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 1,046$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.5 | 2,202 | 53.5%1,178 W · 1,024 L | +63.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Shifters | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.99 | 800 | 49.9%399 W · 401 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 967.87$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.21 | 1,137 | 48.3%549 W · 588 L | +35.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Shifters | 32c | 927.63$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.77 | 1,616 | 48.3%780 W · 836 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 699.95$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.97 | 1,162 | 56.2%653 W · 509 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed Karmine Corp | 76c | 648.42$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.8 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 643.7$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.72 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Shifters | 20c | 631.39$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.84 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Shifters | 33c | 621.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.74 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Shifters | 34c | 595.45$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 547.32$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.55 | 2,261 | 37.3%843 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Shifters | 32c | 542.8$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.1 | 376 | 41.8%157 W · 219 L | -18.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…9249backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 540.43$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.71 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 505.44$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.7 | 121 | 68.6%83 W · 38 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Shifters | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 1,817 | 51.1%929 W · 888 L | +52.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Shifters | 31c | 500$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345 | 229 | 30.6%70 W · 159 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…41d5backed Shifters | 32c | 499.99$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.99 | 176 | 33.5%59 W · 117 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Shifters | 33c | 470$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.9 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 446$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.08 | 662 | 63%417 W · 245 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 432.71$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.24 | 521 | 55.9%291 W · 230 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Shifters | 34c | 423.71$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.65 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed Karmine Corp | 71c | 415.18$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.78 | 799 | 51.7%413 W · 386 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…c6f9backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 400.24$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.84 | 261 | 50.6%132 W · 129 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Karmine Corp | 66c | 395.47$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.01 | 1,206 | 44.7%539 W · 667 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 33c | 382.1$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.01 | 2,385 | 32.1%765 W · 1,620 L | +44.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Shifters | 33c | 349.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.84 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df2…d357backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 344.43$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.05 | 410 | 59%242 W · 168 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb74…3fabbacked Karmine Corp | 77c | 344.22$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.07 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 325.11$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb394…74cebacked Karmine Corp | 49c | 305.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…b8cfbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 298.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.96 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 236 | 72%170 W · 66 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 288.47$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.16 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…dfd8backed Shifters | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Shifters | 51c | 269.52$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.28 | 1,194 | 65.9%787 W · 407 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…5e07backed Shifters | 34c | 265.01$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Shifters | 26c | 250.65$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.48 | 282 | 40.4%114 W · 168 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 250.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 245.82$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.72 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…c645backed Shifters | 20c | 240.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.25 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 216.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.12 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Shifters | 32c | 215.22$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.53 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Shifters | 27c | 207.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 526 | 46.4%244 W · 282 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85f7…8980backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 199.94$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…831dbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 196.16$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 187 | 57.2%107 W · 80 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Shifters | 33c | 193.57$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…908abacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 184.2$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.94 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc7…fc33backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 180.29$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.6 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Shifters | 19c | 177.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.25 | 1,150 | 30.9%355 W · 795 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad0…6187backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 147.3$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.11 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -15.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 428 | 47.9%205 W · 223 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf188…6eadbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…c9bebacked Shifters | 34c | 141.53$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.51 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Karmine Corp | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed Karmine Corp | 73c | 134.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.37 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Shifters | 30c | 130.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.51 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 127.66$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.36 | 683 | 63.4%433 W · 250 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 122.31$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.17 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb05…ed70backed Karmine Corp | 70c | 112.23$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.56 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…56d2backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 107.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…5d9bbacked Karmine Corp | 67c | 99.44$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 419 | 52%218 W · 201 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa485…a7d5backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 99.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 253 | 45.8%116 W · 137 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.67 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea89…476abacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 96.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 187 | 56.7%106 W · 81 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 96.56$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…85c0backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 93.75$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.75 | 798 | 64.3%513 W · 285 L | +32.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…c85abacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 91.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 120 | 67.5%81 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9d…5d14backed Karmine Corp | 65c | 88.86$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Karmine Corp | 71c | 84.74$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 96 | 68.8%66 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8289…6bbbbacked Karmine Corp | 75c | 79.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Shifters | 33c | 78.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 234 | 43.2%101 W · 133 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16e…7006backed Karmine Corp | 67c | 76.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.53 | 205 | 63.4%130 W · 75 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a41…c739backed Karmine Corp | 68c | 73.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.62 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd066…9eecbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…152dbacked Karmine Corp | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.04 | 843 | 60.1%507 W · 336 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: KC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 1 WinnerKarmine Corp won
- LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters - Game 2 WinnerShifters won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.