CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab1849d11ce9b9248354b838fac3510b67a1062d5605fdbaa01ee4facda6e1a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof BIG, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed BIG | 1c | 10,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Heroic | 54c | 6,370$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,931.05 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed BIG | 2c | 3,883$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.65 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed BIG | 34c | 3,216$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.99 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed BIG | 44c | 2,017$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.64 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed BIG | 58c | 2,013$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.84 | 214 | 60.3%129 W · 85 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed BIG | 55c | 1,947$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.4 | 282 | 48.9%138 W · 144 L | +21.4wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed BIG | 19c | 1,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 114 | 34.2%39 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked BIG | 11c | 1,096$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.33 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed BIG | 50c | 1,080$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 439 | 54.9%241 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 61c | 956.24$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked BIG | 46c | 893.39$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.58 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Heroic | 49c | 885.03$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.41 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BIG | 29c | 880.82$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.87 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Heroic | 58c | 550.7$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.21 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed BIG | 50c | 518.99$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.98 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258a…52a2backed BIG | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked BIG | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Heroic | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BIG | 7c | 485.56$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Heroic | 54c | 473$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.58 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe034…4fa9backed BIG | 50c | 412.71$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked BIG | 48c | 340$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.2 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc793…f66fbacked Heroic | 45c | 322.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Heroic | 53c | 319.04$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.95 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked BIG | 56c | 292.08$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.56 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…2ca5backed BIG | 9c | 281.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed BIG | 24c | 236.01$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.62 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Heroic | 51c | 234.25$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Heroic | 45c | 215.35$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.64 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Heroic | 58c | 214.41$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.88 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Heroic | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Heroic | 43c | 193.16$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.1 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed BIG | 32c | 191.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.39 | 477 | 41.7%199 W · 278 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked BIG | 56c | 173.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.36 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed BIG | 57c | 173.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.3 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…d64ebacked Heroic | 44c | 171.97$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…dca3backed Heroic | 44c | 164.73$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 303 | 54.5%165 W · 138 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed BIG | 49c | 159.88$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 188 | 71.8%135 W · 53 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked BIG | 57c | 132.73$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.33 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed BIG | 58c | 113.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed BIG | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed BIG | 51c | 109.58$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed BIG | 59c | 107.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.69 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed BIG | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 492 | 26%128 W · 364 L | -45.2wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked BIG | 23c | 99.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Heroic | 45c | 98.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed BIG | 15c | 98.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 107 | 25.2%27 W · 80 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed BIG | 55c | 97.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.83 | 592 | 62.2%368 W · 224 L | +21.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Heroic | 61c | 97.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x804c…548fbacked Heroic | 43c | 80.25$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked BIG | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed BIG | 47c | 75.09$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.15 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…87b5backed Heroic | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 84 | 75%63 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0241…fd36backed BIG | 32c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 402 | 55.2%222 W · 180 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed BIG | 24c | 69.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 434 | 31.3%136 W · 298 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3a14backed BIG | 62c | 67.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52cd…85fbbacked BIG | 57c | 64.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 369 | 42%155 W · 214 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…43abbacked Heroic | 69c | 56.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 184 | 51.1%94 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Heroic | 44c | 54.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked BIG | 63c | 54.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…c21fbacked BIG | 21c | 54.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…2fa4backed Heroic | 44c | 54.08$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc76e…caa5backed BIG | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed BIG | 21c | 49.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d11…890dbacked BIG | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0a…8b2fbacked BIG | 46c | 43.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Heroic | 63c | 42.2$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…a9f1backed BIG | 36c | 41.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…428fbacked Heroic | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heroic | 45c | 32.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed BIG | 42c | 28.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd6…4c02backed BIG | 48c | 26.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed BIG | 42c | 25.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked BIG | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1f…f2febacked BIG | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee8…7406backed Heroic | 66c | 16.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 217 | 41.5%90 W · 127 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic (BO3) - CCT Global Finals PlayoffsHeroic won
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic - Map 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: HERO (-1.5) vs BIG (+1.5)Heroic won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.