TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: BIG vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof BIG, Heroic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,735
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,401

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,735 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0e1b…ecafbacked BIG74c5,822$4,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,336.712,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Heroic60c4,344$2,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,716.71,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed Heroic60c2,768$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.922630.8%8 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-47.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed BIG35c2,284$799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$799.43458.8%20 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.20per pick39cpaid+47.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1c93…33d5backed Heroic18c1,893$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,555.3548437.6%182 W · 302 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+42%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3072…4ca9backed BIG46c1,874$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.761353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic44c1,688$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9446,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic40c1,324$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.073,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Heroic55c1,234$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.131,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed BIG79c1,023$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.934,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Heroic55c1,020$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.6775245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69bf…0c5dbacked BIG59c999.99$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59017148%82 W · 89 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Heroic47c859.26$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.0840639.4%160 W · 246 L-1.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12bc…bf2fbacked BIG9c824.56$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2837441.7%156 W · 218 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f9…db30backed Heroic27c767.9$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.643228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed BIG45c758.61$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.635,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Heroic65c753.08$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.5819351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x961a…aa6abacked Heroic24c672.65$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.8427548%132 W · 143 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed BIG26c574.73$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4320344.3%90 W · 113 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21b1…b066backed Heroic42c573.42$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3344959.2%29 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Heroic23c558.01$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.1955950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847e…3c43backed Heroic30c499.05$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.6329052.4%152 W · 138 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Heroic64c440.28$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.58748.3%42 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe7a…a930backed BIG42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Heroic24c365.74$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.397,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Heroic64c363.01$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.422365%145 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…ab76backed BIG31c336.38$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.431250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+33.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31fd…e144backed Heroic30c319.97$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9827544%121 W · 154 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Heroic50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15053444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked BIG50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.55,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed BIG70c278.76$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1317034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed BIG33c266.3$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.122860.7%17 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f45…ab6abacked BIG12c260.44$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.142045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Heroic32c258.47$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17535744.3%158 W · 199 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff5e…9c6ebacked Heroic23c234.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.073857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc793…f66fbacked Heroic17c229.47$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.464131.7%13 W · 28 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Heroic40c218.66$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.321,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed Heroic31c212.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9144748.1%215 W · 232 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed BIG74c203.89$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.268475%63 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Heroic65c195.46$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.691,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Heroic45c190.75$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.265,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed Heroic63c186.25$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.9118871.8%135 W · 53 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc671…b0c7backed BIG55c176.72$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3414848%71 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked BIG78c172$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.161,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed Heroic23c171.68$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.255738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked Heroic65c146.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.148459.5%50 W · 34 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed BIG16c144.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.651,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Heroic52c142.16$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8226624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3491…d64ebacked Heroic21c136.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.515141.2%21 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked BIG8c135.85$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.543,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed BIG25c120$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3057935.1%203 W · 376 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed BIG23c116.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.832,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8384…ddd0backed Heroic45c116.3$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49c5…b169backed BIG34c110.43$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.181844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc08d…212cbacked Heroic78c109.91$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.183100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed BIG49c103$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4718352.5%96 W · 87 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Heroic50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic18c96.17$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.51,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde7f…d8dbbacked Heroic51c95.16$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.6320744%91 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed BIG58c91.08$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.422,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07cc…b2e6backed Heroic40c89.17$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.52050%10 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d11…890dbacked BIG26c73.51$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.11650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86e6…e722backed Heroic51c72.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6126245.8%120 W · 142 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7cd6…4c02backed Heroic67c70.78$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a49…4022backed Heroic44c67.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.761241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Heroic41c66.69$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.272,36246.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1193…d9c4backed Heroic67c65.73$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.382245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed Heroic24c60$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.640155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b7…abffbacked BIG32c55.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.582231.8%7 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed BIG25c55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7564439.8%256 W · 388 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8120…a9f1backed Heroic31c50.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.968151.9%42 W · 39 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked Heroic65c49.05$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3510247.1%48 W · 54 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed Heroic53c44.09$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.77540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked BIG47c43.42$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.411,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Heroic32c43.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.24,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed BIG44c40.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.852,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x52cd…85fbbacked BIG52c40.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0436541.9%153 W · 212 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8701…2075backed BIG65c37.86$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.472544%11 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0a…8b2fbacked Heroic54c35.72$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.277963.3%50 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7745…9cfdbacked BIG38c35.26$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Heroic57c34.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6693261.7%575 W · 357 L-4.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked BIG68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.344563.8%284 W · 161 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked BIG45c26.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8827015.2%41 W · 229 L-41.9wins-0.16per pick31cpaid-54.7%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x7600…4478backed Heroic48c25.56$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2928248.9%138 W · 144 L+21.4wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbb8…c7e3backed Heroic72c14.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick72cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f07…c21ebacked Heroic80c14.41$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.883167.7%21 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.