TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, B8
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$797,720
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$854,564

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $797,720 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1136…0c2ebacked B826c219,898$57,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,173.614050.7%71 W · 69 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed FURIA75c158,834$119,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,157.8123355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73e3…1be9backed FURIA74c100,000$74,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,999.9920354.2%110 W · 93 L+10.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed B826c81,816$21,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,272.2423839.9%95 W · 143 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed FURIA77c45,000$34,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,40050054.4%272 W · 228 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed B823c39,710$9,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,133.2225355.7%141 W · 112 L+19.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked FURIA74c35,000$25,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,10075652.6%398 W · 358 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe40e…9770backed B826c30,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80017951.4%92 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA74c27,000$19,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,089.9941649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9368…80a3backed B818c21,944$3,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,844.434744.7%21 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed B813c17,959$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.4620745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5846…0388backed B811c15,092$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.045729.8%17 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked B810c14,483$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.7929127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed B812c13,921$1,662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,662.11,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked FURIA75c13,399$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,398.7425751.8%133 W · 124 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed B823c12,371$2,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,827.8932732.4%106 W · 221 L-0.5wins0.00per pick33cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac75…1319backed B827c10,000$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,699.9916449.4%81 W · 83 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf56d…9eeabacked FURIA74c7,700$5,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00214853.4%79 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed B85c7,579$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.862,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed B823c6,620$1,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,521.8922943.7%100 W · 129 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed FURIA73c6,000$4,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.9771645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed B825c5,800$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4506737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5240…f84ebacked FURIA74c5,405$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.411050%5 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked B827c5,000$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35022449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed FURIA72c5,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed FURIA74c4,760$3,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,227.9537157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed FURIA74c4,700$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22223848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed FURIA75c4,667$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.6712955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x48e0…826dbacked B818c4,559$829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.079454.3%51 W · 43 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe111…685abacked B828c4,500$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,26017540%70 W · 105 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked B825c4,499$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.6964852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9c4…7433backed FURIA74c4,440$3,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.7213244.7%59 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed B87c4,341$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7888330.7%271 W · 612 L-63.8wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B822c4,069$902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.871,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FURIA74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed FURIA74c4,000$2,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.9966851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked B818c3,819$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6917941.8%33 W · 46 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed FURIA74c3,378$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.2860248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ce…bf90backed B826c3,248$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.4326054.2%141 W · 119 L-0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked B84c3,100$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121539.4%5 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed B823c3,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69017045.9%78 W · 92 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed FURIA74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7803863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed B816c2,811$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4837145.6%169 W · 202 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed B825c2,350$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.51,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed B816c2,230$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.012,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fa0…253cbacked FURIA74c2,215$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.6211656.9%66 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5337…df09backed B85c2,198$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1106550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed B813c2,145$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.455,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA80c2,046$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.471,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked FURIA74c2,005$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.2529044.8%130 W · 160 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed FURIA74c2,000$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5209551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbdf7…a6c3backed B825c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed FURIA78c2,000$1,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.5524262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5954…b807backed B810c2,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007664.5%49 W · 27 L+9.2wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed FURIA72c2,000$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.981,08150.9%550 W · 531 L+37.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked B89c1,938$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.371,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked B826c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003020%6 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed B826c1,862$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.1210053%53 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FURIA75c1,829$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.911,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9867…ea53backed FURIA73c1,700$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.974647.8%22 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0938…4e4cbacked B828c1,655$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.395641.1%23 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9524…97b8backed B813c1,627$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.72429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed B822c1,564$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35016732.9%55 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85f8…fe20backed FURIA77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3451457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked B85c1,500$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7516311.7%19 W · 144 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed B81c1,500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25ab…6321backed B820c1,450$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.59723.7%23 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed B816c1,407$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.695,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe361…ae44backed FURIA73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37825145.8%115 W · 136 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked B824c1,400$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.510737.4%40 W · 67 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e8a…5f49backed FURIA75c1,340$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33510150.5%51 W · 50 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked FURIA75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3327751.6%143 W · 134 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed FURIA76c1,300$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31135861.7%221 W · 137 L+18.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked B815c1,298$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.9210938.5%42 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed FURIA77c1,294$998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.8288746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8cd…12cbbacked FURIA78c1,290$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.181580%12 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed FURIA77c1,274$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.381,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed FURIA74c1,250$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.0357641.1%237 W · 339 L-21.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA77c1,250$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.51,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed B825c1,200$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30560848%292 W · 316 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed FURIA74c1,188$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30911349.6%56 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked B826c1,159$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30027530.9%85 W · 190 L-18.6wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc754…4b1dbacked FURIA74c1,149$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.7334140.8%139 W · 202 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked FURIA77c1,149$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.161,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked B825c1,148$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.7519229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5453…65cebacked B822c1,136$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed B821c1,132$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24010055%55 W · 45 L+13.5wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+28.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed B814c1,113$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1559335.5%33 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8edb…d34dbacked FURIA74c1,082$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.435248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f16…553dbacked FURIA74c1,081$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.0822751.5%117 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked FURIA77c1,027$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.162738.8%243 W · 384 L-31.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked FURIA77c1,023$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.454,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked B810c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed FURIA79c1,000$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21027156.1%152 W · 119 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed B89c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9044648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked FURIA74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26078963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa972…9817backed FURIA74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2605172.5%37 W · 14 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed FURIA79c999.98$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21042154.6%230 W · 191 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd277…f4bcbacked B827c994.84$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2738342.2%35 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.