CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1bc5e3ede7beb4564f5eb10f6e6e664df2740b8ea4a59caf289b96585c59bb8a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 56c | 5,725$3,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,541.99 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Under | 53c | 4,342$2,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.52 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d9…2659backed Over | 48c | 4,156$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…b5bcbacked Over | 47c | 3,830$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Over | 45c | 2,234$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…50fcbacked Under | 58c | 1,043$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.13 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Under | 55c | 1,015$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.53 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Under | 58c | 724.95$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.48 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Under | 55c | 500.1$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked Over | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…2b8dbacked Over | 42c | 499.95$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.98 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 63c | 403.46$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…a577backed Over | 42c | 346.19$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.4 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over | 33c | 304.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea7…7fc0backed Under | 55c | 235.65$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.04 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 184 | 32.6%60 W · 124 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Under | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 42c | 167.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 31c | 161.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.51 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Under | 39c | 127.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.75 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0c…e236backed Under | 73c | 112.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 55c | 112$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…ea15backed Over | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…8d8abacked Under | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.06 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…8ce8backed Under | 62c | 77.17$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 60c | 73.21$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Under | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Under | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Under | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 100 | 29%29 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Under | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Under | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Under | 41c | 67$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.53 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Over | 38c | 61.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.33 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Over | 41c | 60.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Over | 47c | 57.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 44cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Over | 46c | 56.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 56c | 55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 56c | 53.64$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Under | 32c | 51.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e28…f043backed Over | 41c | 50.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe679…871fbacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Under | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda0d…fb82backed Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 34.9%81 W · 151 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed Under | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 224 | 60.7%136 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd31a…28f5backed Over | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb084…be70backed Under | 37c | 39.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 452 | 38.3%173 W · 279 L | -29.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Over | 41c | 31.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 219 | 52.5%115 W · 104 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc015…c944backed Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c94…1b47backed Under | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…7ecebacked Under | 71c | 21.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…388ebacked Under | 56c | 18.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Over won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: FURIA (-3.5) vs B8 (+3.5)FURIA won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)FURIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.