TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Hugo Gaston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Francisco Cerundoloof Francisco Cerundolo, Hugo Gaston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$311,123

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Hugo Gaston11c33,533$3,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.4636346.8%170 W · 193 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15dd…11dbbacked Hugo Gaston27c10,866$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,949.994548.9%22 W · 23 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked Hugo Gaston21c9,795$2,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,050.524117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Francisco Cerundolo80c7,499$5,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,529.644,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Francisco Cerundolo73c6,948$5,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,875.961,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Hugo Gaston6c6,087$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.5121524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc68…f899backed Hugo Gaston28c5,358$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5008444%37 W · 47 L-9.5wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-25.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Hugo Gaston22c4,571$1,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,023.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Hugo Gaston8c3,997$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.839,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3f9…45a7backed Hugo Gaston20c3,486$685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684.6938066.3%252 W · 128 L-0.7wins0.00per pick67cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Hugo Gaston6c2,872$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3571725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Francisco Cerundolo77c2,599$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.5994968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Hugo Gaston11c2,405$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2565425.9%14 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Hugo Gaston10c2,217$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6557842.4%245 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19c6…c063backed Hugo Gaston11c1,818$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Hugo Gaston16c1,721$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.675543.4%328 W · 427 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Hugo Gaston15c1,408$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.42,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb911…7c31backed Hugo Gaston7c1,386$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.864916.3%8 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-39.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Hugo Gaston8c1,260$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.095,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Francisco Cerundolo79c1,209$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.84,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93df…481bbacked Francisco Cerundolo79c1,152$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ebf…a29bbacked Hugo Gaston21c1,151$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+23.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Hugo Gaston16c1,069$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7330131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Hugo Gaston8c1,055$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.485348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Hugo Gaston8c1,055$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.465952.5%346 W · 313 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Hugo Gaston8c1,049$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.163,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Hugo Gaston1c1,034$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.341650%8 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+33.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba2…eb93backed Hugo Gaston23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307364.4%47 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Francisco Cerundolo75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2509631.3%30 W · 66 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Hugo Gaston10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10085634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Hugo Gaston10c999.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Hugo Gaston11c999.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11038144.6%170 W · 211 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x433c…81eabacked Francisco Cerundolo73c983.49$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.549458.5%55 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hugo Gaston14c927.74$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.0811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Francisco Cerundolo79c921$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.4122667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Hugo Gaston13c904.53$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201,50435.1%528 W · 976 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Hugo Gaston12c784.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1487837.2%327 W · 551 L-2.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Francisco Cerundolo78c768.08$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.4211154.1%60 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dcf…dc6ebacked Hugo Gaston8c715.74$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.295735.1%20 W · 37 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fea…1accbacked Hugo Gaston14c700$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963554.3%19 W · 16 L+7.1wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+78.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Hugo Gaston15c693.19$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.746,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Hugo Gaston10c643.67$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.955,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67be…6e09backed Hugo Gaston10c600$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6049740.6%202 W · 295 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17af…b7e4backed Hugo Gaston28c535.71$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030747.9%147 W · 160 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b79…2a1cbacked Francisco Cerundolo75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…7e10backed Hugo Gaston27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.974843.8%21 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Hugo Gaston13c445$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1193048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Hugo Gaston5c400$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2115225%38 W · 114 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Hugo Gaston12c381.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4513444%59 W · 75 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46fb…8eaebacked Hugo Gaston26c379.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005437%20 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Hugo Gaston11c374.39$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.932,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Hugo Gaston13c372.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6485624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Hugo Gaston21c357.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757512%9 W · 66 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1782…2928backed Hugo Gaston14c357.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010834.3%37 W · 71 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Hugo Gaston13c332$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1151339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c6e…542dbacked Francisco Cerundolo78c313.14$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.8919756.3%111 W · 86 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Hugo Gaston9c300$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2732935%115 W · 214 L-1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4702…5d04backed Hugo Gaston28c276.79$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.58937.1%33 W · 56 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Hugo Gaston6c258.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7439845.5%181 W · 217 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Hugo Gaston11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.533346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Hugo Gaston12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305244.2%23 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed Francisco Cerundolo75c238.98$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.88754%47 W · 40 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-17.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Hugo Gaston22c237$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1456744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Hugo Gaston8c225.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4370829.1%206 W · 502 L+0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92e6…8222backed Hugo Gaston28c210.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.63759.5%22 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Hugo Gaston18c209.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.553732.4%12 W · 25 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe6…a99fbacked Hugo Gaston12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2575912.1%92 W · 667 L-22.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Hugo Gaston12c208.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2542042.6%179 W · 241 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4571…a952backed Francisco Cerundolo77c206.47$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.474042.5%17 W · 23 L-7.2wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-37.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdda3…d55fbacked Hugo Gaston11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2218443.5%80 W · 104 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+33.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc162…40bbbacked Hugo Gaston20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405547.3%26 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3972…0a77backed Hugo Gaston12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-40.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Hugo Gaston10c194.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hugo Gaston12c193.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.684,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Hugo Gaston9c192.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1831220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12a2…c60dbacked Hugo Gaston21c189.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.71560%9 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Francisco Cerundolo78c180.9$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.961062.8%383 W · 227 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe313…f437backed Hugo Gaston11c163.64$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18450%2 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+399.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x326d…3584backed Hugo Gaston10c149.05$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3418433.2%61 W · 123 L-40.4wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.3%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0xbc9f…2ca3backed Francisco Cerundolo74c142$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.44560%3 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick77cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Hugo Gaston14c140$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.621317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb08f…e4b9backed Hugo Gaston22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Francisco Cerundolo80c135.51$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.117857.3%102 W · 76 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc513…4e36backed Hugo Gaston15c130.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+42.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2db8…e042backed Francisco Cerundolo79c127.92$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9275061.7%463 W · 287 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3e…3dc1backed Francisco Cerundolo79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.58450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Francisco Cerundolo78c124.64$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.194,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Hugo Gaston17c112.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.551,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af1…ef8abacked Hugo Gaston12c108.33$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Hugo Gaston17c105.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4827132.1%87 W · 184 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick29cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f4d…cea5backed Hugo Gaston19c103.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.392236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+22.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf060…fc59backed Hugo Gaston12c103.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.413231.1%41 W · 91 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Hugo Gaston18c101.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2434847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe8b…5e62backed Hugo Gaston28c100.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823932.6%78 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x692b…b4f2backed Hugo Gaston15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545744.2%202 W · 255 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Hugo Gaston11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1117840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe71…8437backed Hugo Gaston10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011239.3%44 W · 68 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xddd6…4e4dbacked Hugo Gaston21c93.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.651266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcce1…7572backed Hugo Gaston18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153748.6%18 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Francisco Cerundolo77c77.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.812,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.