TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x79d0…4dff

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
390
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Golf, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT31220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 312 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Targu Mures: Yelyzaveta Kotliar vs Mia Risticbacked Yelyzaveta Kotliar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.55
Samsun: Semen Pankin vs Manoj Dhamne Manasbacked Semen Pankin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.82
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.93
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Xinyu Wang vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Caijsa Hennemannbacked Caijsa Hennemann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
Targu Mures: Caijsa Hennemann vs Mia Pohankovabacked Mia Pohankova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Tamara Korpatschbacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Heather Watsonbacked Kamilla Rakhimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hamburg European Open: Elina Avanesyan vs Anna Bondarbacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.46
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Gauthier Onclinbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolfbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.05
Palermo: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burelbacked Clara Burel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tampere: Maks Kasnikowski vs Hynek Bartonbacked Hynek Barton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Kitzbuehel: Despina Papamichail vs Erika Andreevabacked Despina Papamichail · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Braunschweig: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Iasi: David Poljak vs Gustavo Heidebacked David Poljak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+286.9%+$40.17
Braunschweig: Daniel Rincon vs Tom Gentzschbacked Tom Gentzsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Wimbledon WTA: Zeynep Sonmez vs Claire Liubacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Wimbledon WTA: Janice Tjen vs Daria Kasatkinabacked Janice Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Teodora Vlajic vs Krystyna Pochtovykbacked Teodora Vlajic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Showing 25 of 312 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT6426.6%17 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 64 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.25
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+172.3%+$239.19
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.92
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+275.4%+$85.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$32.82
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.27
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+138.9%+$36.11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.68
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$29.21
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.59
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$23.5
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.94
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on May 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Showing 25 of 64 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-74.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+128.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+142.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.