Tennis · resolved market
Troyes: Lorenzo Giustino vs Marko Topo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e1b5482ee7d380fdffb21e39ca5ec6181e21c7c99e3a88d9e321468a97c349f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Giustinoof Lorenzo Giustino, Marko Topo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Marko Topo | 15c | 15,149$2,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,282.7 | 67 | 19.4%13 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Marko Topo | 12c | 4,564$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.31 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b4…bfa2backed Lorenzo Giustino | 77c | 3,896$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.1 | 335 | 40.9%137 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Lorenzo Giustino | 77c | 2,248$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.98 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 1,776$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.29 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Lorenzo Giustino | 76c | 1,291$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.81 | 629 | 56.9%358 W · 271 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Marko Topo | 25c | 1,200$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Giustino | 80c | 761.61$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lorenzo Giustino | 67c | 665.36$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Marko Topo | 23c | 533.02$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 112 | 15.2%17 W · 95 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Marko Topo | 39c | 529.08$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Marko Topo | 25c | 499.79$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ee29backed Lorenzo Giustino | 70c | 426.11$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.11 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Lorenzo Giustino | 70c | 421.22$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.93 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Marko Topo | 42c | 416.16$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x652f…bc41backed Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 400.76$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Marko Topo | 30c | 329.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5136…4525backed Marko Topo | 33c | 303.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 49c | 300.59$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66f8…6230backed Marko Topo | 11c | 229.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db8…0ed7backed Marko Topo | 26c | 216.71$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Lorenzo Giustino | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Marko Topo | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marko Topo | 21c | 198.56$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Marko Topo | 36c | 193.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Marko Topo | 9c | 181.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Marko Topo | 17c | 181$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Lorenzo Giustino | 47c | 162.24$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.99 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…5648backed Marko Topo | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Marko Topo | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Lorenzo Giustino | 80c | 145$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Marko Topo | 52c | 130.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.68 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb3…f5b0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 55c | 130$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.9 | 469 | 57.6%270 W · 199 L | +32.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd58e…bf44backed Marko Topo | 30c | 128.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Marko Topo | 48c | 120$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lorenzo Giustino | 75c | 106.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Lorenzo Giustino | 65c | 104.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Marko Topo | 30c | 98.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Marko Topo | 30c | 96.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb68c…7ef8backed Marko Topo | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Lorenzo Giustino | 74c | 89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe302…a986backed Marko Topo | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 198 | 41.9%83 W · 115 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163f…c010backed Lorenzo Giustino | 74c | 80.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Marko Topo | 49c | 70.35$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.47 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Lorenzo Giustino | 71c | 68.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Marko Topo | 17c | 67.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Marko Topo | 52c | 56.46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Marko Topo | 19c | 53.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Marko Topo | 26c | 52.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…a3b4backed Marko Topo | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +75%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lorenzo Giustino | 69c | 46.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marko Topo | 28c | 46.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…6516backed Lorenzo Giustino | 70c | 45.33$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 72c | 41.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 485 | 52.4%254 W · 231 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Marko Topo | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Marko Topo | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Marko Topo | 53c | 34.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Marko Topo | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…3eb1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 66c | 30.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59a9…41d1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Lorenzo Giustino | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac50…d728backed Marko Topo | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 283 | 43.8%124 W · 159 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Lorenzo Giustino | 70c | 24.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 134 | 44%59 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 69c | 20.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 106 | 78.3%83 W · 23 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 75c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d6…9892backed Lorenzo Giustino | 79c | 13.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.86 | 130 | 63.1%82 W · 48 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.