TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Braunschweig: Daniel Rincon vs Tom Gentzsch

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Daniel Rinconof Daniel Rincon, Tom Gentzsch
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,194
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,194 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Tom Gentzsch43c2,046$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.688,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Daniel Rincon64c1,533$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.954,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Daniel Rincon48c1,005$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.174,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Daniel Rincon47c985.47$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.189,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tom Gentzsch51c956.02$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.3511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tom Gentzsch36c711.63$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.238,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Tom Gentzsch39c650.33$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7822033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Daniel Rincon47c638.28$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.295,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb347…5166backed Daniel Rincon70c596.85$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2421955.3%121 W · 98 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tom Gentzsch9c596.41$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.874,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tom Gentzsch40c549.1$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.168,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94d4…d869backed Tom Gentzsch27c496.85$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.1510246.1%47 W · 55 L+10.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+51.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tom Gentzsch52c438.59$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.773,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Tom Gentzsch21c423.1$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8838422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Daniel Rincon77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Tom Gentzsch7c317.05$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.632,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Daniel Rincon63c315$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.741,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Daniel Rincon54c284.88$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.992,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Tom Gentzsch50c257.52$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1667144.7%300 W · 371 L+30.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Daniel Rincon41c245.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.179646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79d0…4dffbacked Tom Gentzsch11c223.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2431220.5%64 W · 248 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Tom Gentzsch17c211.88$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.35,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Tom Gentzsch53c208.32$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Tom Gentzsch35c205.8$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6982958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Daniel Rincon42c203.31$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.313,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Daniel Rincon42c203.13$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.133,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c8…a25cbacked Tom Gentzsch25c199.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7916451.8%85 W · 79 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Daniel Rincon74c191.72$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.473648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42f…5f5abacked Daniel Rincon78c182.11$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.911,01039.2%396 W · 614 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Tom Gentzsch8c180.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517810.7%19 W · 159 L+0.8wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Daniel Rincon72c162.02$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.381,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked Daniel Rincon42c154.96$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.961,35638.3%520 W · 836 L+2.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb6…32b5backed Tom Gentzsch11c148$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9531856%178 W · 140 L+19.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93d7…c7a6backed Tom Gentzsch54c135.87$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3716755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Daniel Rincon79c125.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8537262.9%234 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Daniel Rincon41c122.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.852,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Daniel Rincon39c108.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.691,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Daniel Rincon70c107.85$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed Tom Gentzsch44c106$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6410233.3%34 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Daniel Rincon49c102.05$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0527437.2%102 W · 172 L-21.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21fa…53cdbacked Tom Gentzsch53c102$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Tom Gentzsch53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.11,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Tom Gentzsch17c95.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0832726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Daniel Rincon66c94.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.093,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tom Gentzsch38c90$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.43,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x128a…819bbacked Daniel Rincon47c83.33$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.914951%25 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Daniel Rincon57c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3417436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Daniel Rincon41c79.32$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.622,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Daniel Rincon68c73.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.371,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d24…f379backed Tom Gentzsch50c55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2336154%195 W · 166 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bef…5f5dbacked Tom Gentzsch54c54$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0213965.5%91 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f06…8ebebacked Daniel Rincon48c50.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4220553.7%110 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Tom Gentzsch33c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3897852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Tom Gentzsch60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9933855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Tom Gentzsch52c49.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1957449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b89…9183backed Tom Gentzsch53c49.69$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3420566.8%137 W · 68 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c8e…cebfbacked Daniel Rincon49c46.14$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531450%7 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79da…f465backed Tom Gentzsch46c46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.071526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Daniel Rincon48c43.94$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.922,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Daniel Rincon47c43.92$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3272452.6%381 W · 343 L+34.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Daniel Rincon47c42.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.832,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Tom Gentzsch52c42.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9147251.3%242 W · 230 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Daniel Rincon48c42.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.912,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Daniel Rincon75c39.73$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7457845.7%264 W · 314 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Tom Gentzsch30c39.11$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.831,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Tom Gentzsch42c38.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.256,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Daniel Rincon41c36.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.861,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Tom Gentzsch53c34.84$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4794058.4%549 W · 391 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Tom Gentzsch52c30.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.761,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Daniel Rincon40c30$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1835349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Tom Gentzsch49c29.98$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7837153.9%200 W · 171 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d6…09edbacked Tom Gentzsch53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152740.7%11 W · 16 L-5.7wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Tom Gentzsch55c27.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0558665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Daniel Rincon73c27.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2378957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x362c…67e6backed Tom Gentzsch45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3737255.6%207 W · 165 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf474…2775backed Tom Gentzsch53c20.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75348.8%3 W · 31 L-15.6wins-0.46per pick55cpaid-85.6%equal weight21-0.26 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Tom Gentzsch55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1154746.8%256 W · 291 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87f4…0f35backed Tom Gentzsch53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.525232.7%17 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-33.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x285f…0f08backed Daniel Rincon75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.9318537.3%69 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.