Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Sara Sorribes Tormo vs Caijsa Hennemann
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdedd5f113744852eaf47ffde9a7f07eda37aff9d7850e24aaaf2cb98c16ee480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sara Sorribes Tormoof Sara Sorribes Tormo, Caijsa Hennemann
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,138
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,287
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,138 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Caijsa Hennemann | 15c | 6,702$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.97 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Caijsa Hennemann | 3c | 3,716$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.47 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Caijsa Hennemann | 4c | 2,557$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Caijsa Hennemann | 6c | 1,945$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.21 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf051…acd4backed Caijsa Hennemann | 13c | 1,404$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Caijsa Hennemann | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Caijsa Hennemann | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…5cd4backed Caijsa Hennemann | 3c | 896.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 147 | 32.7%48 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Caijsa Hennemann | 24c | 689$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.06 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…6e6fbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 10c | 666.17$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Caijsa Hennemann | 12c | 656.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Caijsa Hennemann | 11c | 643.97$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.39 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 2c | 569.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Caijsa Hennemann | 7c | 318.57$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Caijsa Hennemann | 24c | 302.59$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.62 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…befabacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 79c | 295.45$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Caijsa Hennemann | 9c | 265.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Caijsa Hennemann | 7c | 249.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 76c | 224.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Caijsa Hennemann | 5c | 206.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Caijsa Hennemann | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Caijsa Hennemann | 6c | 198.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Caijsa Hennemann | 22c | 177.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Caijsa Hennemann | 24c | 149.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 78c | 139.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.79 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…cc2ebacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Caijsa Hennemann | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd6…d4a0backed Caijsa Hennemann | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 112 | 44.6%50 W · 62 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…a656backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 77c | 99.92$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 76c | 91.39$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 78c | 64.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Caijsa Hennemann | 23c | 57.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Caijsa Hennemann | 26c | 55.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…c7a7backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 75c | 51.32$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 185 | 51.4%95 W · 90 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 77c | 50.91$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…fac5backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2f…7105backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 76c | 45.19$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe01…b45dbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 223 | 77.6%173 W · 50 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 77cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 76c | 30.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 77c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c5…b5e9backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 76c | 22.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 231 | 62.8%145 W · 86 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe4…f12fbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 76c | 21.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 586 | 65.5%384 W · 202 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…b79fbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 98 | 67.3%66 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 77c | 19.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.43 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Sara Sorribes Tormo | 71c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sara Sorribes Tormo | 76c | 13.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.