Tennis · resolved market
Kitzbuehel: Despina Papamichail vs Erika Andreeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10b6334913270176c78eb7eaaa43648e9175e0b437916163f3dda419d295d9b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Erika Andreevaof Despina Papamichail, Erika Andreeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Despina Papamichail | 17c | 3,652$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Erika Andreeva | 79c | 1,360$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.68 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Erika Andreeva | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.89 | 940 | 68.1%640 W · 300 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Despina Papamichail | 3c | 1,033$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Despina Papamichail | 22c | 799.05$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.79 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Erika Andreeva | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Despina Papamichail | 8c | 427.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.21 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Despina Papamichail | 7c | 299.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Despina Papamichail | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Despina Papamichail | 15c | 224.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Erika Andreeva | 75c | 140$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.05 | 366 | 40.7%149 W · 217 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Despina Papamichail | 13c | 119.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4711…61b3backed Erika Andreeva | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…de2fbacked Despina Papamichail | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Despina Papamichail | 23c | 87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Despina Papamichail | 13c | 83.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Erika Andreeva | 77c | 67$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Erika Andreeva | 79c | 63.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Despina Papamichail | 20c | 60.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Despina Papamichail | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Erika Andreeva | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Erika Andreeva | 76c | 39.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 593 | 66.8%396 W · 197 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Erika Andreeva | 78c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a85…e543backed Erika Andreeva | 76c | 17.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 214 | 55.1%118 W · 96 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.