Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa02c9d620bcc8479faff86277cec0570e38424f8c91b5f95683ec8f15c1821e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,817
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,817 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d07…2b94backed No | 2c | 1,233$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…6ab4backed Yes | 75c | 539.54$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 36c | 344$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.97 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 246.8$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 72c | 218.68$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 45c | 217.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.39 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 213.15$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked No | 46c | 169.58$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.66 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 166.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 27c | 156$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…17c9backed No | 65c | 153.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 49c | 124.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 22c | 117$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…cf4bbacked No | 47c | 112.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 39c | 110.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.74 | 958 | 52.5%503 W · 455 L | +103.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 34c | 109.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.77 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Yes | 41c | 106.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.94 | 869 | 52.7%458 W · 411 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 33c | 99.79$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.76 | 170 | 25.3%43 W · 127 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 37c | 92.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 92.4$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.63 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 73c | 92.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 32c | 85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 743 | 38.2%284 W · 459 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 36c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 35c | 78.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 64c | 75$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 33c | 73.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6871…7cb8backed Yes | 70c | 67.49$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 70c | 65$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.79 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 78c | 64.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed Yes | 38c | 63.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 60c | 60.66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.44 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 34c | 58.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…1c8cbacked Yes | 52c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 541 | 43.1%233 W · 308 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa9…0c38backed No | 63c | 56.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…4688backed No | 62c | 55.55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 35c | 55.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 41c | 54.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…6922backed Yes | 43c | 52.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087e…df61backed No | 65c | 52.31$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 50.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc030…1398backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c7…e100backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 227 | 44.1%100 W · 127 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 31c | 47.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4409…cf5bbacked Yes | 40c | 47.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 32c | 47.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 55c | 47.14$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 43c | 45.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 59c | 43.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 77c | 42.49$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 58c | 42.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 34c | 42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2,060 | 60%1,235 W · 825 L | +28.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 75c | 39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed Yes | 34c | 37.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da4…e65cbacked Yes | 41c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…1cf6backed Yes | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0f…a4e7backed Yes | 36c | 34.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 67c | 33.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.06 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 43c | 31.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,075 | 58.9%1,223 W · 852 L | +102.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 68c | 29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 39c | 28.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 69c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 73c | 27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 53c | 25.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 64c | 25.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 52c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98cf…852abacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.19per pick | 72cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 69c | 21.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 76c | 20.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 68c | 20.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d8…0c8cbacked Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 169 | 24.3%41 W · 128 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…1e4ebacked No | 59c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 321 | 47.4%152 W · 169 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed No | 77c | 18.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82cc…d569backed No | 73c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 111 | 73%81 W · 30 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on June 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.