TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7166…6922

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
79
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Weather, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2437.5%9 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick30cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.69
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$30.02
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$32.99
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.93
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.07
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.73
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C or below on June 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.68
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on June 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.7
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+136.7%+$17.32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.01
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 9°C on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$172
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$62
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.59
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.82
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$424Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$198.71
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Spain O/U 7.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$132
Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.99
Belgium vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$254.55
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.1
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
All 23 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Halle Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Nikoloz Basilashvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Lorenzo Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$34.9
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublikbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$41.8
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Adrian Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverevbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcanbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.67
Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.67
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Joao Fonsecabacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.3
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Jong (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$49.4
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodarbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$181.6
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$182.4
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$14.88
Roland Garros ATP: Facundo Acosta vs Learner Tienbacked Facundo Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$75.83
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+129.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+129.9%+$51.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$417.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports (BO5) - LCP Playoffsbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$6.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$396Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$395.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.