Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabdb1bf2bd946c6477eddcc01d3088c72e9005a8df32460dcde988f03e81e8c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,756
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 235 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed Yes | 0c | 26,048$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.99 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…7b6dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,719$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 45c | 3,000$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347.42 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7231…5afebacked Yes | 15c | 2,142$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.43 | 96 | 34.4%33 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,011$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7331…bc39backed Yes | 5c | 1,949$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 94 | 25.5%24 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 48c | 1,867$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.87 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 7c | 1,433$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 49c | 1,425$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.82 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 49c | 1,269$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.89 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 31c | 745.14$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.21 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…b752backed Yes | 3c | 736.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 54c | 682.46$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.88 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 71c | 623$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.02 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 24c | 583.33$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.4 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 72c | 569.91$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.2 | 767 | 55.4%425 W · 342 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 544.42$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.54 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 67c | 488.46$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.08 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 13c | 483.09$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.44 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 449.9$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.62 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed Yes | 9c | 440.23$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 352 | 32.7%115 W · 237 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 54c | 408$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.17 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eee…74e8backed Yes | 32c | 394.99$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 400 | 25.5%102 W · 298 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 23c | 385.53$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 69c | 368.32$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 326.73$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…05a6backed No | 46c | 326$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…31b0backed Yes | 4c | 323.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa110…9b09backed Yes | 34c | 294.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 58c | 294.53$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.03 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 58c | 289.68$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.74 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 50c | 281.75$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.45 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf328…2b78backed Yes | 52c | 268.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 7c | 261.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 37c | 259.29$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840a…63ccbacked Yes | 42c | 237.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 53c | 233.54$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.63 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 69c | 226.88$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 66c | 221.32$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 55c | 212.72$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 78c | 211.26$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.54 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.73 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 16c | 199.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…94e5backed Yes | 36c | 199.59$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a88…f471backed Yes | 35c | 189.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 297 | 32.3%96 W · 201 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 65c | 183.13$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…6e19backed Yes | 28c | 182.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 181.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 67c | 179.44$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 56c | 166.63$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…a069backed Yes | 7c | 160.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…d53dbacked No | 64c | 154.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.96 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 39c | 150$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f79…d807backed Yes | 62c | 149.15$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 45c | 148.64$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c9…61adbacked Yes | 48c | 148.56$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 76c | 147.68$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 26c | 146.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed Yes | 72c | 142.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 35c | 142.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…35e3backed Yes | 42c | 138.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 114 | 38.6%44 W · 70 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 57c | 137.14$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.84 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…4b15backed Yes | 41c | 131.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…4c8fbacked Yes | 36c | 130$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea55…558fbacked Yes | 29c | 126.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 80c | 125.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked No | 38c | 123.27$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.89 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…b90dbacked Yes | 38c | 122.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 834 | 59.8%499 W · 335 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed Yes | 41c | 120.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 171 | 35.1%60 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 9c | 118.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 33c | 118$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570c…91c5backed No | 77c | 117.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 711 | 59.2%421 W · 290 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 40c | 117.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.59 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b6…0d76backed Yes | 45c | 116.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 65c | 115.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 46c | 111.03$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 71c | 110.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 270 | 79.3%214 W · 56 L | +52.5wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…2f85backed Yes | 22c | 109.75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 43c | 108.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 61c | 107.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.14 | 1,018 | 60.2%613 W · 405 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…79aabacked Yes | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 38c | 104.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 612 | 49.5%303 W · 309 L | +30.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d07…36bfbacked No | 76c | 103.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7166…6922backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,076 | 23.5%253 W · 823 L | +69.1wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 37c | 99.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 394 | 27.4%108 W · 286 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Yes | 27c | 96.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 274 | 21.9%60 W · 214 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…f96dbacked Yes | 37c | 94.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 61c | 90.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0888…e6e3backed No | 33c | 86.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ee…31aebacked No | 45c | 82.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 26c | 82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e4b…48bdbacked Yes | 50c | 80.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed No | 66c | 76.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 818 | 48.5%397 W · 421 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…790fbacked Yes | 27c | 75.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.