Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7389a0c86576145a13f0eeaf1006e4791f1445d07fa779c81d4823e9e1bcd7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198e…ede0backed Yes | 12c | 867.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 564 | 34.6%195 W · 369 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 79c | 700.9$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked Yes | 16c | 681.22$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +17.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 20c | 508.45$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ef…9840backed Yes | 17c | 501.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.31 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 76c | 470.67$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.72 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 18c | 462.79$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080e…da87backed Yes | 13c | 456.02$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 185 | 34.6%64 W · 121 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 13c | 436.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46b9…62a2backed Yes | 10c | 404.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…086bbacked Yes | 24c | 363.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 13c | 309.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.24 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 12c | 295.54$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.68 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 12c | 287.76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.98 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d0…d21ebacked Yes | 9c | 276$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 183 | 37.7%69 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4174…18fabacked No | 79c | 251.46$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 1,079 | 61.2%660 W · 419 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c55…ddfbbacked Yes | 19c | 237$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 117 | 24.8%29 W · 88 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 12c | 227.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4081…dfcabacked Yes | 23c | 225.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 77c | 221.32$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.95 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…f401backed Yes | 15c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 311 | 24.1%75 W · 236 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…9eedbacked Yes | 12c | 199.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 157 | 17.2%27 W · 130 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9384…8a95backed Yes | 6c | 184.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 183.19$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.23 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 24c | 169.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 659 | 34.1%225 W · 434 L | +36.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41aa…9e8cbacked Yes | 6c | 165$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 607 | 3.3%20 W · 587 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 79c | 164.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…0569backed Yes | 25c | 162.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 17c | 161.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84e5…2303backed Yes | 13c | 155.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked Yes | 26c | 155$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42a…ebeabacked Yes | 33c | 153.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed22…6450backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 431 | 39.2%169 W · 262 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad64…4a5cbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…b4dabacked No | 63c | 148.83$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.83 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…5645backed Yes | 14c | 146$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 78c | 145.35$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 11c | 139.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 21c | 138.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a8…3509backed Yes | 14c | 132.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd13…94e5backed Yes | 20c | 127.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -57%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 18c | 127.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c0…930fbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 18c | 120.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 1,211 | 29.8%361 W · 850 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…6a56backed Yes | 24c | 117.77$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Yes | 17c | 117.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…79f8backed Yes | 28c | 111.93$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 643 | 33.4%215 W · 428 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f4…e4e2backed Yes | 13c | 108.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2a…967bbacked Yes | 10c | 104.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0de9…3d1fbacked Yes | 22c | 102.15$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…5a3ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 76 | 28.9%22 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1805…a069backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…2412backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a19…1e2ebacked No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 417 | 67.9%283 W · 134 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb98…6f4bbacked Yes | 18c | 99.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 99.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9f…012fbacked Yes | 21c | 95.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d31…2f85backed Yes | 19c | 90.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed Yes | 14c | 90$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 22c | 89.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 98 | 32.7%32 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 17c | 89.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 19c | 81.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea08…6191backed Yes | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9301…388cbacked No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked Yes | 19c | 78.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 212 | 72.6%154 W · 58 L | +22.8wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd992…985abacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 19c | 73.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2451…09fabacked Yes | 15c | 73.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 221 | 25.3%56 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9e…9466backed Yes | 20c | 68.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8e…aea4backed No | 72c | 68.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 2,268 | 79.5%1,803 W · 465 L | +98.4wins | +0.04per pick | 75cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd113…7a2dbacked Yes | 24c | 63.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…393ebacked No | 78c | 63.08$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 76c | 62.96$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked Yes | 23c | 62.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…b3ecbacked Yes | 18c | 61.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…db74backed Yes | 17c | 61.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 260 | 25%65 W · 195 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc857…7c22backed No | 79c | 57.27$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 74c | 54.58$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 503 | 73.2%368 W · 135 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…c66fbacked Yes | 23c | 51.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 168 | 36.3%61 W · 107 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedec…d967backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 179 | 26.3%47 W · 132 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8a…26e6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3594…cd28backed Yes | 22c | 48.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed No | 79c | 41.05$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…fc14backed No | 63c | 40.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…ee40backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…e862backed No | 78c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…31b0backed Yes | 35c | 31.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…782cbacked No | 64c | 27.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 1,876 | 63%1,181 W · 695 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ca…a1b4backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked No | 76c | 21.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 508 | 60.4%307 W · 201 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x608a…966bbacked No | 66c | 21.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…a13cbacked No | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 59 | 81.4%48 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 73cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c7…860ebacked No | 76c | 13.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 27?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C or higher on May 27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.