TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,261,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,222,778

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,261,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 816 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b4c…36e8backed No80c100,166$79,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,471.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd5d…ff7ebacked Yes71c68,864$48,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48,983.51450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes45c57,959$25,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,921.1575748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x966c…9b1abacked Yes20c50,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9645…82efbacked Yes31c47,766$14,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,807.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes67c35,708$23,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,998.571,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No26c33,091$8,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,544.62927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+182.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes55c24,600$13,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,423.454030%12 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed No46c24,496$11,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,227.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21aa…8da1backed No69c23,893$16,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,406.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa241…73c9backed No69c23,825$16,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,385.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed No30c19,947$6,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,945.65427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-52.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed No31c19,529$6,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,458.112322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Yes6c17,656$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.0872638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed No26c17,580$4,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,008.9416242%68 W · 94 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes29c15,545$4,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,454.452321.7%5 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-62%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdba8…9accbacked No27c15,391$4,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,277.794117.1%7 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe16e…c3c7backed No72c14,935$10,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd849…6ac7backed Yes69c14,543$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0009962.6%62 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes21c14,134$3,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,018.124658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes61c14,029$8,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,583.7452750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad89…f6e1backed No33c13,298$4,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,857.315117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-63.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes25c12,708$3,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,153.7815832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3e4…8087backed No28c12,500$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,0006328.6%18 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked Yes69c12,415$8,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,579.885052%26 W · 24 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ac…3f7cbacked No29c12,182$3,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,659.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+245.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No28c12,083$3,424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,658.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+58.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes29c11,987$3,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,422.732941.4%12 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18e1…e3c4backed Yes72c11,706$8,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,406.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed No31c10,392$3,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,170.25287.1%2 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-80.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Yes18c10,373$1,831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830.981010%1 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick7cpaid-69.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes69c10,247$7,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,052.3264755.2%357 W · 290 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Yes32c10,198$3,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,267.878239%32 W · 50 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf19…6402backed Yes20c10,095$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.532236.4%8 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9897…c033backed No30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63bf…e319backed Yes5c10,000$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.5520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+100%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Yes65c10,000$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,500714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick51cpaid-81.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5543…e1f5backed No28c10,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,199.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+78.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38c2…f7ffbacked No31c10,000$3,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,949.97250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick18cpaid+63.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…0091backed Yes71c10,000$7,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,099.956747.8%32 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7516…8bebbacked Yes72c9,530$6,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,861.823537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Yes54c9,349$5,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,048.642642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c54…09c4backed Yes56c8,465$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7503342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked No28c7,949$2,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,752.6812536%45 W · 80 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No80c7,516$5,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,521.438226.8%22 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-47.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…9bb7backed Yes50c7,483$3,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7492759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Yes71c7,240$5,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,140.381,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…7f92backed Yes71c7,100$5,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0412657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8b…05bdbacked Yes67c6,866$4,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,589.07540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-47.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Yes73c6,849$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00044163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ced…12b2backed Yes69c6,834$4,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,744.393429.4%10 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes69c6,231$4,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,284.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No30c6,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,20021743.8%95 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed No29c6,000$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.961546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick64cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Yes69c5,850$4,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,037.6927944.1%123 W · 156 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No41c5,816$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,411.872050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No29c5,800$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,109.98540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9117…cecabacked Yes73c5,500$4,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,01510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4af7…2381backed Yes30c5,480$1,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,631.089941.4%41 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b9c…a518backed Yes19c5,093$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.043644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes53c5,052$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,655.051931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…e019backed Yes15c5,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7503528.6%10 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xafe6…8192backed No30c5,000$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,474.9924840.7%101 W · 147 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes71c5,000$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,549.9823731.6%75 W · 162 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed No27c5,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,649.9727431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a8a…7699backed No28c5,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,599.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+257.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa450…452fbacked Yes14c4,543$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.812725.9%7 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-45.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa103…2426backed Yes72c4,538$3,274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,273.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9612…4b27backed Yes66c4,502$2,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,968.781855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc898…b0f8backed Yes73c4,395$3,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,218.28633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf4…2680backed Yes72c4,167$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd8c…f75abacked Yes60c4,142$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50032763.9%209 W · 118 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x86ff…5e28backed No32c4,044$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743.961225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes72c4,000$2,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,889.963745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6d…a2a1backed Yes5c3,892$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No29c3,817$1,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.8810739.3%42 W · 65 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09cb…ee8fbacked No29c3,790$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,681.883100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+113.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1400…ffd6backed Yes61c3,644$2,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,237.57837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…f691backed No33c3,575$1,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,392.771533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+59.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes70c3,540$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-51.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf99c…dd3abacked Yes63c3,205$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.4230%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes36c3,076$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.061,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4698…d7a5backed Yes73c3,000$2,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,19053655.4%297 W · 239 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0c…7c83backed Yes72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed No51c3,000$1,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c49…dd2dbacked No28c3,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,159.985149%25 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes69c2,931$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,010.132119%4 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick22cpaid+92%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4920…2ef4backed Yes72c2,926$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1003754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97ff…d970backed Yes73c2,866$2,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,096.53850%4 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-33.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1646…2f81backed Yes34c2,854$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.6131749.5%157 W · 160 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No51c2,807$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.834459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8918…8824backed Yes72c2,796$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+87.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ada…36cfbacked Yes42c2,732$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.182030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc426…e486backed Yes70c2,714$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed No28c2,513$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.2343743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8420…6183backed Yes13c2,508$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.31752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked No50c2,437$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.8124229.8%72 W · 170 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Yes42c2,405$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes70c2,383$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66030053.7%161 W · 139 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39a5…87f2backed Yes23c2,261$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.541553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.