Tennis · resolved market

Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d5ce9c96febcf8a9722342508b819a8edb34fc8f1dd842a30cd34b88fa55bbd

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $220,432
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $61,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $220,432 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x45e4…7e20backed Yes	2c	51,878$1,041 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.92	187	47.6%89 W · 98 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	3c	23,633$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736.04	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe507…1258backed Yes	4c	19,151$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.77	56	23.2%13 W · 43 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	32cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd40d…a926backed Yes	2c	10,731$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.66	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes	1c	9,774$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.77	1,865	44.7%834 W · 1,031 L	+36.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Yes	3c	7,713$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	873	37.1%324 W · 549 L	-3.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes	3c	6,869$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.62	90	13.3%12 W · 78 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes	1c	6,366$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.2	354	39.8%141 W · 213 L	-15.0wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48b8…4b69backed Yes	2c	6,111$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.66	82	39%32 W · 50 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes	1c	5,330$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	1,865	45.6%851 W · 1,014 L	+50.3wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a92…52f8backed Yes	2c	4,479$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	20cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46c6…a5a6backed Yes	2c	3,372$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.24	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes	2c	2,749$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,504	35.1%528 W · 976 L	+12.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes	4c	2,703$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	600	55.7%334 W · 266 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Yes	1c	2,615$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	26cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes	2c	2,500$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.5	957	42.1%403 W · 554 L	-24.9wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x928c…0f9ebacked Yes	1c	2,493$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.44	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	0%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb3…33cdbacked Yes	4c	2,270$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.71	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes	2c	2,225$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7803…c9afbacked Yes	3c	2,174$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	43	39.5%17 W · 26 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	2c	2,007$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.16	227	23.8%54 W · 173 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6207…2356backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	51.9%40 W · 37 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,968$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.99	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Yes	1c	1,650$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	160	47.5%76 W · 84 L	+8.0wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	2c	1,645$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.62	6,720	36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L	-95.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1463…ce78backed Yes	1c	1,500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	3c	1,426$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.65	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe131…7594backed Yes	1c	1,419$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x045c…5861backed Yes	3c	1,203$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.5	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes	1c	1,200$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	419	55.8%234 W · 185 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x864a…1048backed Yes	4c	1,170$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.28	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9249…d239backed Yes	2c	1,137$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.68	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-63%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4f9…9419backed Yes	4c	999.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	308	27.6%85 W · 223 L	-4.2wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddd…1ad3backed Yes	2c	999.95$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	32	34.4%11 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xee11…53c9backed Yes	2c	900$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	238	36.1%86 W · 152 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	2c	850$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.6	1,008	43.8%442 W · 566 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb08e…eb99backed Yes	2c	830$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd71a…67f5backed Yes	3c	795.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	182	47.3%86 W · 96 L	-8.9wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e77…303fbacked Yes	2c	633.16$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	158	56.3%89 W · 69 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	3c	570.84$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.13	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3493…50fbbacked Yes	4c	476.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.55	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-72%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes	3c	430.72$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.94	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe42c…6bf9backed Yes	3c	367.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.54	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes	3c	350$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.15	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event