Tennis · resolved market

Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c45f4a2fff5e9e9810631beef71fd70597830dbcb2e5301805c9064915c2a9

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $290,002
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $85,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $290,002 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xec59…bb35backed Yes	1c	35,821$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.39	246	43.9%108 W · 138 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes	1c	32,543$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.31	28	7.1%2 W · 26 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-80.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0753…d174backed Yes	1c	26,041$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.37	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46c6…a5a6backed Yes	0c	13,351$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.8	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x231a…a82fbacked Yes	1c	11,244$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.43	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	26cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes	1c	11,174$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.51	255	0.8%2 W · 253 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5be9…4ddcbacked Yes	1c	10,303$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Yes	1c	9,829$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.97	119	19.3%23 W · 96 L	-6.4wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes	1c	9,770$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.16	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-50.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x027c…b158backed Yes	1c	9,286$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff1b…5dfdbacked Yes	1c	9,240$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.46	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes	1c	7,381$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.22	14	0%0 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb64…5e23backed Yes	1c	6,611$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.83	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-1.9wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes	1c	6,536$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.21	103	18.4%19 W · 84 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+12.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes	1c	6,374$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.72	133	30.1%40 W · 93 L	+3.8wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes	1c	5,566$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.96	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	15cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d7…c766backed Yes	0c	5,196$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98b2…95fdbacked Yes	1c	5,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.98	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	+2.7wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae9…5b36backed Yes	1c	4,904$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.72	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes	1c	4,062$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.16	156	57.1%89 W · 67 L	+8.2wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x102d…ff61backed Yes	1c	4,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	57	3.5%2 W · 55 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9aa7…e3d9backed Yes	1c	3,518$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.62	57	8.8%5 W · 52 L	-5.7wins	-0.10per pick	19cpaid	-75.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0767…f407backed Yes	0c	3,485$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.75	99	6.1%6 W · 93 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-61.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb623…476dbacked Yes	1c	3,358$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.15	100	28%28 W · 72 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4604…56f1backed Yes	1c	3,156$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-47%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	2,385$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.36	2,331	7.9%183 W · 2,148 L	-56.9wins	-0.02per pick	10cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	1c	2,178$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.62	76	18.4%14 W · 62 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63cc…eec5backed Yes	1c	1,686$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7e65…694fbacked Yes	1c	1,554$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.11	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Yes	1c	1,482$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.3	600	55.7%334 W · 266 L	+2.9wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc4b7…8ee2backed Yes	1c	1,400$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-74%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12a7…399bbacked Yes	1c	1,256$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.45	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb08e…eb99backed Yes	1c	1,250$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes	1c	1,084$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	106	22.6%24 W · 82 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	336	50.9%171 W · 165 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event