TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,334,216
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,936,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,334,216 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1463…ce78backed Yes0c39,393$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50130%0 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes2c35,220$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.2412322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c27,590$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.8410221.6%22 W · 80 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick16cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes1c26,278$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0937944.6%169 W · 210 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c22,115$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8422723.8%54 W · 173 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid-35.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9449…d829backed Yes2c21,880$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.77267.7%2 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick4cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes2c16,888$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.814816.7%8 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick10cpaid-11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes2c15,000$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.91163.4%4 W · 112 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6717…ea2cbacked Yes2c13,605$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef70…38dcbacked Yes2c12,033$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x551d…9326backed Yes0c12,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1227739%108 W · 169 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Yes2c11,736$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.9811256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x704e…efd5backed Yes2c11,119$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b2a…6ca5backed Yes1c10,999$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.4520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf07…c770backed Yes3c10,795$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.241414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes2c10,784$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.255036%18 W · 32 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x305f…e9abbacked Yes2c9,667$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe641…798abacked Yes2c9,106$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.67137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfebf…f611backed Yes2c8,309$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d2b…6d08backed Yes1c8,272$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7243…83f0backed Yes0c8,109$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.73521.9%1 W · 51 L+0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-95.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Yes3c7,955$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.362020%4 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+42.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes0c7,925$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.012550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9e…de2abacked Yes2c7,905$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0d…5e48backed Yes1c7,818$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b7f…afaebacked Yes1c7,199$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1569…3986backed Yes1c6,738$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb544…c186backed Yes2c6,645$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed88…0dfdbacked Yes1c6,628$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.67287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-39%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9c…1a5bbacked Yes1c6,539$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee28…8266backed Yes1c6,500$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7710443.3%45 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+12%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x750c…1910backed Yes1c6,441$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70b5…1735backed Yes1c6,352$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5b…c6a9backed Yes2c6,158$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68be…277ebacked Yes1c6,139$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07be…5c74backed Yes1c6,119$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Yes2c6,098$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0852750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0169…14a8backed Yes1c6,082$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes2c6,038$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.8710318.4%19 W · 84 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9eb…ee8abacked Yes1c5,921$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Yes0c5,897$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.524431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-30%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes2c5,844$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.131747.1%8 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb936…61d3backed Yes1c5,778$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x939e…64d1backed Yes3c5,724$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8335…9462backed Yes1c5,583$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8fb…e911backed Yes2c5,451$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3c…bd54backed Yes1c5,396$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2449…5c97backed Yes3c5,389$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedda…d508backed Yes3c5,235$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.3220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca6…1988backed Yes1c5,201$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dac…8e8cbacked Yes1c5,181$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff5…ca47backed Yes2c5,158$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…e927backed Yes2c5,156$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes1c5,103$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3495742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc421…e53abacked Yes1c5,091$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes1c5,090$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.871711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick9cpaid-63.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f2…0dfdbacked Yes1c5,065$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed Yes2c5,026$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98ce…55f3backed Yes3c4,881$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161f…0f10backed Yes1c4,814$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88aa…efabbacked Yes2c4,754$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes2c4,632$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5315657.1%89 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60cd…cc51backed Yes2c4,628$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x917f…ad74backed Yes2c4,584$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4146…6455backed Yes2c4,565$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa722…a665backed Yes2c4,551$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19b…2b2cbacked Yes1c4,539$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2078…1934backed Yes1c4,528$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0c0…92d1backed Yes1c4,506$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c96…a934backed Yes1c4,488$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff14…0821backed Yes2c4,482$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ee…55fabacked Yes1c4,439$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca9c…4944backed Yes2c4,426$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5e4…9134backed Yes1c4,421$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7f1…bdfdbacked Yes2c4,400$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8793…950cbacked Yes1c4,396$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5658…f30ebacked Yes1c4,387$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272c…ebddbacked Yes2c4,378$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a9c…cffbbacked Yes2c4,371$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes1c4,371$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b64…139dbacked Yes1c4,350$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a6f…6f14backed Yes2c4,348$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x812e…21babacked Yes1c4,343$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd3…2452backed Yes2c4,336$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a5…8581backed Yes1c4,316$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26a7…bb01backed Yes3c4,312$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5726…a696backed Yes1c4,294$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x085d…41b9backed Yes1c4,292$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f8…4af1backed Yes1c4,270$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e2…dda4backed Yes3c4,233$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ba…275ebacked Yes1c4,232$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9548…f983backed Yes1c4,188$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac69…b02ebacked Yes2c4,173$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976b…ab87backed Yes1c4,165$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf128…ed0abacked Yes1c4,158$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6984…1bf1backed Yes1c4,099$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6aa…d326backed Yes1c4,077$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9220%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4a3…d0e4backed Yes1c4,052$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56d0…4c6bbacked Yes2c4,050$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5758…6c56backed Yes1c4,028$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.