Tennis · resolved market
Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4786c0fc83466a567a3269de1ae6fd8270b93cff2c952dd4c63a3f483853a175
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $513,597
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $513,597 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd123…d341backed Yes | 1c | 55,407$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.33 | 248 | 41.5%103 W · 145 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6501…1220backed Yes | 4c | 54,572$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…8f9fbacked Yes | 0c | 30,554$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 116 | 3.4%4 W · 112 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Yes | 3c | 28,003$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 21,963$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 102 | 21.6%22 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 18,947$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.15 | 227 | 23.8%54 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9ebdbacked Yes | 1c | 17,347$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.5 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…476dbacked Yes | 0c | 13,892$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.36 | 100 | 28%28 W · 72 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca1…4268backed Yes | 0c | 10,765$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 155 | 31.6%49 W · 106 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 3c | 8,637$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.56 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328f…efe2backed Yes | 1c | 8,317$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed Yes | 1c | 7,936$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.09 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bc…4e1cbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a92…52f8backed Yes | 3c | 4,869$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8841…a5a7backed Yes | 3c | 4,830$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 3c | 4,744$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 149 | 33.6%50 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff4…55bcbacked Yes | 1c | 4,721$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Yes | 3c | 4,631$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.53 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 4,400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -95.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56b2…2ce1backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes | 3c | 4,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 0c | 3,925$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 103 | 18.4%19 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Yes | 4c | 3,854$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 873 | 37.1%324 W · 549 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 2c | 3,842$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.18 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ab…4069backed Yes | 3c | 3,537$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Yes | 1c | 3,515$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551d…9326backed Yes | 1c | 3,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 277 | 39%108 W · 169 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 0c | 3,204$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 444 | 23.9%106 W · 338 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 3,142$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9449…d829backed Yes | 1c | 3,097$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8798…76cebacked Yes | 1c | 2,977$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc1…580fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,919$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.22 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,757$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2e…05a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,598$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 3c | 2,409$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.21 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b51…9144backed Yes | 1c | 2,222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c6…a5a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,167$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32fe…eb6fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,107$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 2c | 1,904$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Yes | 2c | 1,864$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…afaabacked Yes | 3c | 1,568$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,500$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Yes | 1c | 1,437$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…bb84backed Yes | 3c | 1,197$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x946e…9749backed Yes | 2c | 1,162$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…9277backed Yes | 1c | 1,131$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb64…5e23backed Yes | 3c | 999.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b67…525dbacked Yes | 3c | 965.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 3c | 949.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes | 3c | 927.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b7…8ee2backed Yes | 3c | 863.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59df…3ab6backed Yes | 1c | 840$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Yes | 3c | 832.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…be1dbacked Yes | 3c | 763.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1da…0370backed Yes | 3c | 714.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 3c | 691.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c10…a305backed Yes | 3c | 615.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 3c | 598.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 3c | 593.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 132 | 31.1%41 W · 91 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 3c | 490$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe681…b2fcbacked Yes | 2c | 440.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814e…40b1backed Yes | 3c | 312.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alex De Minaur win the 2026 Men's French Open?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Alejandro Tabilo win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Alex Michelsen win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes won
- Will Alexei Popyrin win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Cameron Norrie win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Denis Shapovalov win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Jan-Lennard Struff win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Learner Tien win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Marin Cilic win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Martin Landaluce win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Matteo Arnaldi win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Moise Kouame win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Raphael Collignon win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Reilly Opelka win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Sebastian Korda win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Tomas Machac win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win the 2026 Men's French Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.