TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x64c3…75ab

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
194
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT11545.2%52 W · 63 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 115 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rafael Jodar Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Ben Shelton Win the Cincinnati Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.52
Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilicbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
Set 1 Winner: Aguilar vs Cilicbacked Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.4
Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williamsbacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$16.24
Cincinnati Open: Coleman Wong vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$15.26
Set Handicap: Shelton (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)backed Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$61.09
Will Rafael Jodar Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Arthur Fils Win ATP Montrealbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Marko Topobacked Marko Topo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Hagen: Carlos Taberner vs Juan Bautista Torresbacked Juan Bautista Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Set Handicap: Torres (-1.5) vs Taberner (+1.5)backed Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Set Handicap: Hurkacz (-1.5) vs Giron (+1.5)backed Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Liberec: Jan Kumstat vs Gonzalo Buenobacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$21.65
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Set Handicap: Tiafoe (-1.5) vs Shimabukuro (+1.5)backed Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Halle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Sho Shimabukurobacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Set Handicap: Fritz (-1.5) vs Bellucci (+1.5)backed Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Showing 25 of 115 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4544.4%20 W · 25 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+5.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the announcers say "Tom Cruise" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$41.43
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$20.4
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$510Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$510
Spread: Colombia (-1.5)backed Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the announcers say "VAR" during the Mexico vs England FIFA World Cup Match?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+55%+$54.96
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$97.89
Will Neymar score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+156.8%+$51.74
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Algeria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Ecuador · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$80.31
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$79.53
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$22.12
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$93.33
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+86.1%+$146.33
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$389
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+174.7%+$135.21
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+209.1%+$135.13
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Sergio Fajardo place 3rd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.39
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$20.71
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.73
All 3 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 6–10 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.