Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x329f0af76ebf9186856589cb19fde61ef60084eb94a68df38651659d88077cec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norrieof Zverev, Norrie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Norrie | 43c | 3,679$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.64 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Zverev | 53c | 2,965$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.63 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Norrie | 47c | 2,102$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.25 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Zverev | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 600 | 53.8%323 W · 277 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Zverev | 55c | 1,096$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Zverev | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeff…78f8backed Norrie | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.26 | 436 | 47.2%206 W · 230 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…e235backed Zverev | 1c | 1,001$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Norrie | 46c | 680.2$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.31 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Norrie | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Zverev | 54c | 548.84$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.37 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…9717backed Norrie | 46c | 542$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.8 | 222 | 52.3%116 W · 106 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 54c | 486$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.44 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Zverev | 54c | 409.41$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.08 | 285 | 43.5%124 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Zverev | 58c | 310.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 917 | 54%495 W · 422 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Zverev | 58c | 291.47$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 244 | 46.3%113 W · 131 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Norrie | 46c | 250$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Zverev | 53c | 143.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.19 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Zverev | 54c | 112.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.01 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Zverev | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Norrie | 42c | 94.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Norrie | 46c | 92.35$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Norrie | 43c | 92.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Zverev | 57c | 92.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Zverev | 57c | 75.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Norrie | 47c | 67.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.03 | 101 | 40.6%41 W · 60 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Norrie | 46c | 57.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Zverev | 54c | 55.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…f8b3backed Norrie | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Zverev | 54c | 36.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…3607backed Norrie | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked Norrie | 61c | 18.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)this page
- Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron NorrieAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs NorrieNorrie won
- Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs NorrieZverev won
- Zverev vs. Norrie: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zverev vs. Norrie: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.