Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Norrie
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c6e733ffc581c9d02f3a0212891eb5a8ab13d1c58200a00736b884e464d67b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norrieof Zverev, Norrie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,551
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Norrie | 26c | 2,783$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.34 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Zverev | 74c | 2,664$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,970.7 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Norrie | 42c | 1,204$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.36 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Zverev | 14c | 864.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,030 | 50%515 W · 515 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Zverev | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 392 | 56.6%222 W · 170 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Zverev | 20c | 238.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…0bc1backed Zverev | 74c | 198.65$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Zverev | 44c | 175.89$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.58 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Zverev | 50c | 110.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zverev | 32c | 105$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Zverev | 41c | 101.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 176 | 54%95 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Norrie | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 593 | 47.4%281 W · 312 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Zverev | 70c | 92.46$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 1,053 | 40.9%431 W · 622 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Zverev | 33c | 86.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Zverev | 70c | 31.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 195 | 37.4%73 W · 122 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Norrie | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.51 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Zverev vs Norriethis page
- Cincinnati Open: Alexander Zverev vs Cameron NorrieAlexander Zverev won
- Set 2 Winner: Zverev vs NorrieZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Norrie (+1.5)Norrie won
- Zverev vs. Norrie: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Zverev vs. Norrie: Match O/U 22.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.