Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williams
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c500471bfeb99df709ebfef5fea1dc022294bb7098b3db5313f72fe8ca4c34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Emiliana Arangoof Emiliana Arango, Venus Williams
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $193,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Venus Williams | 13c | 76,893$9,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,716.62 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Venus Williams | 19c | 23,723$4,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,552.54 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Emiliana Arango | 72c | 11,556$8,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,236.24 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Venus Williams | 19c | 7,532$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.14 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Venus Williams | 12c | 6,466$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.6 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Venus Williams | 25c | 6,413$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.88 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Emiliana Arango | 73c | 3,138$2,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.36 | 346 | 55.2%191 W · 155 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Venus Williams | 16c | 3,125$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,101 | 45.1%497 W · 604 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Venus Williams | 2c | 2,930$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 792 | 49.1%389 W · 403 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Venus Williams | 13c | 2,301$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.13 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Venus Williams | 27c | 2,175$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.49 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Venus Williams | 2c | 2,171$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Venus Williams | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe6…8192backed Venus Williams | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 247 | 40.5%100 W · 147 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Venus Williams | 20c | 1,735$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.33 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed Venus Williams | 10c | 1,629$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.78 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Venus Williams | 26c | 1,541$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.29 | 3,187 | 48.4%1,542 W · 1,645 L | -46.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Emiliana Arango | 74c | 1,401$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Emiliana Arango | 71c | 1,237$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.8 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Venus Williams | 21c | 958$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.18 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Venus Williams | 15c | 849.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.58 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332e…df71backed Venus Williams | 10c | 825$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 429 | 34.7%149 W · 280 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Emiliana Arango | 69c | 792.61$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.71 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Venus Williams | 29c | 709.98$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.89 | 350 | 38.3%134 W · 216 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Venus Williams | 17c | 652.75$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Venus Williams | 27c | 600$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 6,998 | 39.7%2,779 W · 4,219 L | -16.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060d…d746backed Emiliana Arango | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Venus Williams | 27c | 516.2$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Emiliana Arango | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 530 | 44.9%238 W · 292 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Venus Williams | 4c | 402.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Venus Williams | 17c | 393.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Venus Williams | 15c | 358.78$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.42 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…391dbacked Venus Williams | 31c | 340.77$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.64 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Emiliana Arango | 70c | 325$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 174 | 58%101 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98f9…5cd9backed Venus Williams | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Venus Williams | 22c | 303.93$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.92 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Venus Williams | 28c | 296.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.62 | 501 | 47.7%239 W · 262 L | -15.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Emiliana Arango | 73c | 280.64$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.77 | 241 | 74.3%179 W · 62 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Venus Williams | 31c | 260$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 866 | 35.5%307 W · 559 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Venus Williams | 4c | 245.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 421 | 30.2%127 W · 294 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Emiliana Arango | 70c | 241$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 954 | 55.5%529 W · 425 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Venus Williams | 14c | 232.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 2,025 | 46.9%950 W · 1,075 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Venus Williams | 28c | 228.62$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.37 | 277 | 44.4%123 W · 154 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Venus Williams | 30c | 220$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 783 | 36%282 W · 501 L | +36.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Emiliana Arango | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd32…f000backed Venus Williams | 28c | 194$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Venus Williams | 28c | 188.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Emiliana Arango | 72c | 178.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 154 | 48.7%75 W · 79 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Venus Williams | 18c | 172.22$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2,142 | 37.3%799 W · 1,343 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Venus Williams | 18c | 150.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed Emiliana Arango | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Venus Williams | 18c | 137.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3,204 | 40.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Venus Williams | 18c | 137.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3,412 | 39.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L | -11.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Emiliana Arango | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…13e6backed Emiliana Arango | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 114 | 62.3%71 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…e2a0backed Emiliana Arango | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Venus Williams | 13c | 125$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1,657 | 44.2%733 W · 924 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Venus Williams | 22c | 123.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Venus Williams | 27c | 119.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Emiliana Arango | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1,895 | 48.1%911 W · 984 L | +15.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Emiliana Arango | 79c | 90$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Emiliana Arango | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 325 | 62.5%203 W · 122 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Venus Williams | 25c | 75.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…07c3backed Emiliana Arango | 75c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Venus Williams | 27c | 74.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Venus Williams | 30c | 72.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 193 | 58.5%113 W · 80 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c3…75abbacked Emiliana Arango | 77c | 70.62$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.24 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Venus Williams | 24c | 68.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 335 | 40.6%136 W · 199 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Emiliana Arango | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2,056 | 59.5%1,224 W · 832 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84e…b520backed Venus Williams | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Venus Williams | 23c | 61.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…c173backed Venus Williams | 20c | 56.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Emiliana Arango | 80c | 56.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 647 | 53.9%349 W · 298 L | +32.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…8fe4backed Venus Williams | 30c | 55.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Emiliana Arango | 77c | 55$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 520 | 38.5%200 W · 320 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Venus Williams | 31c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Venus Williams | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 677 | 45.6%309 W · 368 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Venus Williams | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 441 | 51.9%229 W · 212 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e37…5bdbbacked Venus Williams | 30c | 38.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Emiliana Arango | 77c | 32.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 509 | 48.1%245 W · 264 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Emiliana Arango | 72c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…016abacked Emiliana Arango | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 326 | 59.2%193 W · 133 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Emiliana Arango | 72c | 15.63$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,212 | 52%630 W · 582 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Emiliana Arango vs Venus Williamsthis page
- Cincinnati Open: Completed Match: Emiliana Arango vs Venus WilliamsYes won
- Set Handicap: Arango (-1.5) vs Williams (+1.5)Arango won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.